Voters do not know / significantly misperceive state spending. This should worry every policy maker. Some quick excel work I’ve done pulling data from Institute for Fiscal Studies and other sources for 2023.

Georgia: On top of the electoral integrity violations reported by observers, the widespread tampering in favour of the government is visible also in the detailed official results counts. Europe Elects was independently able to reproduce the markings of fraud. #gevote2024

Vaccines are good actually.

I send my thoughts and prayers to everyone over the weekend who has to explain over and over again why getting in on the 8th count means no less than being elected on the 1st or 2nd.

Ireland, national parliament election today: Ipsos B&A exit poll FG-EPP: 21% SF-LEFT: 21% FF-RE: 20% SD→S&D: 6% LAB-S&D: 5% AON-*: 4% GP-G/EFA: 4% PBP/S~LEFT: 3% II-RE: 2% ➤ europeelects.eu/ireland #Ireland #GE2024

Let the battle of the projections begin! Polls to Seats Peter Donaghy Irish Election Projections Ireland Votes

Ireland, national parliament election: 43/43 constituencies counted (first preference votes) FF-RE: 21.9% (-0.3) FG-EPP: 20.8% (-0.1) SF-LEFT: 19% (-5.5) Ind.-*: 13.2% (+1) SD→S&D: 4.8% (+1.9) LAB-S&D: 4.7% (+0.3) AON-*: 3.9% (+2) II-RE: 3.6% (new) GP-G/EFA:

Our postdoc Eoghan Kelly has co-developed DevolvedElections, a seat projection tool for devolved elections 🤓🧮 You can select from some preset scenarios or plug in your own vote share numbers to generate precise estimates. More info on our blog ⬇️ scottishelections.ac.uk/2025/05/22/ann…

*If* the Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse by-election were extrapolated nationally: SNP — 49 Seats Ref — 26 Lab — 23 Con — 14 GP — 10 LD — 7 From DevolvedElections devolvedelections.co.uk/scotland/

Inverting the Projection on the Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse By-Election Result Devolved Election Projections devolvedelections.co.uk/blog/inverting…

We can only assume this means all white men now have to get out of Belfast? m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/courts/be…

You can now see D'Hondt seat allocation for every Senedd constituency! The last two seats in Caerdydd Penarth are on a knife edge between Plaid Cymru, Tories and Greens according to our Nowcast. devolvedelections.co.uk/wales/

Our new London Assembly projection tool is live! Play with the numbers, explore the seats, and see who’s on track to run the show in 2028 (yes, we're a bit early). Go on, have a poke around 👉 devolvedelections.co.uk/london/

🗳️ Delighted that our Stormont Election Projection Tool is featured by Slugger O'Toole ✨ Built on constituency level data to map potential 2027 outcomes. 📊 Read more: sluggerotoole.com/2025/06/30/int…

🚨 Our Coalition Builder tool is now live for Scottish and Welsh projections! 🗳️ Ever wondered what party alliances could form after an election? Now you can experiment with different outcomes, test majorities, and see how the numbers stack up — all with a few clicks. ✨

🚨 We've introduced a new tool which shows you how the Northern Ireland Executive is formed. Just pick your justice minister, your opposition (if any), and press play! 👉 devolvedelections.co.uk/northern-irela… 👈

Officially a Doctor of Politics from Queen's University Belfast 🎓