Chris Doyle (@ensembleator) 's Twitter Profile
Chris Doyle

@ensembleator

Not paying to provide free content, Mr. Musk. Unfunded media. Trained weather enthusiast. Part time professional. Opinions my own and not always reliable

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calendar_today31-03-2012 21:39:03

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Gusty winds ovnite as an upper trough inland compressed the flow aloft over SWBC #YVR. Winds decrease next few hours as a ridge slowly builds onto the coast. Variable skies w/some higher clouds arcing over the top of the upr ridge offshore. Same thru the weekend. Breezy Sun

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At this point, models suggest Sept will end on the dry side for the LM. 16.5 mm for YVR Sea Island so far this month. Normals are 51.9 mm at month-end and nothing that could produce, even cumulatively, 35 mm is in sight.

At this point, models suggest Sept will end on the dry side for the LM. 16.5 mm for YVR Sea Island so far this month. Normals are 51.9 mm at month-end and nothing that could produce, even cumulatively, 35 mm is in sight.
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That sunrise #YVR was due to ACC. A weak trough extending SW from a system moving thru N-Central BC may bring a few "surprise!" light showers in the next hour or 2 #YVR. Nada in the mdls. After that vrbl skies and dry until Sun PM w/a few more light shwrs. Damp E winds tmrw.

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Earlier this week ensembles suggested that #YVR was going to stay on the dry side of an offshore upr trough. That's no longer the case, with mdls shifting the trough E and putting SWBC smack into the storm track after Wed. So anticipate rain and potential strong wind later nxt wk

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Although some storminess looking increasingly likely later next week #YVR, uncertainties remain, as the system currently projected to be a major system off the W coast nxt Thu/Fri is currently a wave (ex TD-14-Pulasan) btn Srn Japan and S Korea.

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SWBC under a SW flow w/an upr low Xing the BC N cst this AM. Shwrs/E wind dvlp erly PM #YVR as a trailing trof tracks inland. Vrbl skies Mon as a ridge builds overhead. Mainly sunny, warm Tue. Rain/wind by erly Wed as a sharp trough (dvlpg now 45N 170W) digs across the coast

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Trend in the Euro Ensemble continues w/a stronger trough further to the E for later in the week but there's still a lot of variance in the development of surface features, so stay tuned #YVR

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In spite of a building upper ridge over SWBC this evening and 500 hPa heights moving past 576 dm, there's still a few misty sprinkles about. Quillayute (UIL) sounding shows a daily record amount of water vapor in the local atmosphere.

In spite of a building upper ridge over SWBC this evening and 500 hPa heights moving past 576 dm, there's still a few misty sprinkles about. Quillayute (UIL) sounding shows a daily record amount of water vapor in the local atmosphere.
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Despite 580+ heights over SWBC (normally a guarantee of a dry warm day even in late Sep), the sheer amount of water vapour in the sounding producing warm-process rain #YVR. Second highest level ever recorded, since Sep 6, 1957. Should slowly dry this AM as the ridge builds to 585

Despite 580+ heights over SWBC (normally a guarantee of a dry warm day even in late Sep), the sheer amount of water vapour in the sounding producing warm-process rain #YVR. Second highest level ever recorded, since Sep 6, 1957. Should slowly dry this AM as the ridge builds to 585
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Quite a sight over Wrn N America as very strong high pressure aloft over NW OR circulates cloud from a Pacific front crossing the BC N Coast, thru Nrn AB, diving SE into SK then S into Wrn ND, then SE WY, thru UT, NV and back over the Pac N of Monterey CA