/文革中的政治暴力⋯絕對主體部分，是軍方所主導的地方政權對造反運動的鎮壓和對社會的震懾。就影響的範圍與人數而言，這種鎮壓暴力與其他政治暴力完全不在一個數量級上。換言之，文革政治暴力的主要加害者是國家，而受害者是造反運動的參與者，以及在一波波鎮壓擴大化中無辜受到波及的普通人。

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⚡️China Power Sector Fundamentals: The Parallel Power Markets China is in the process of liberalizing its power markets, but at this "in-between" moment, it still has two parallel markets. Understanding this is key to understanding the sector. A niche and nerdy thread 🧵

In a new paper, Elkobi & I scrape the most comprehensive local govt & LGFV bond issuance data of 35K issuance and finds over 50 trillion RMB in local bonds outstanding. For 12 provinces, monthly debt servicing is > 100% of monthly revenue. For 15 provinces over 50% of revenue 1/2

投资占GDP比重对比

Last Fall I completed another iteration of Gov 50 (Data Science for the Social Sciences), and I've been really happy with the course. We doubled in size to 250 students and got great reviews from students. What's worked for us? gov50-f23.github.io

Reminder that I have a textbook on an introduction to mathematical statistics and regression, designed for first year PhD students in poli sci, but maybe useful to others. Let me know if you use it and have feedback! mattblackwell.github.io/gov2002-book/

Teaching or taking stats? Here's a new paper & app for you: "Statistical Intuition Without Coding (or Teachers)" with Natalie Ayers, @ZagrebMukerjee, & Dominic Skinnion. See gking.harvard.edu/2k1

I've updated my Short History of Global Living Conditions. here it is: ourworldindata.org/a-history-of-g…

ACLS is pleased to share a new resource guide on open databases for #ChinaStudies as part of the Henry Luce Foundation-ACLS Digital Archives Mapping Project. The guide highlights online repositories that offer free access to large primary source sets: bit.ly/3BmmPco

New book alert! Authoritarian regimes invented mass education, and these models still shape education in modern democracies, hurting democracy. Check out @aspaglayan on bsky new book, "RAISED TO OBEY" Princeton University Press

🚨new working paper with Noah Zucker and Simran Singh🚨 Private sector demand for climate expertise is skyrocketing. Firms now compete with the government to hire top climate experts. How does this competition affect the state's capacity for climate governance?

🚀✨ Our Political-LLM is now live on arXiv! ✨🚀 🤝 A collaboration of 40+ researchers across ML and PoliSci exploring how LLMs are revolutionizing political science research 🔗 arxiv.org/abs/2412.06864 #AI #PoliticalScience #LLM #ML

🚨 New Publication! 🚨 This is a special one for me because it’s in The China Quarterly but also because it looks at the key question that motivated me to do a PhD in the first place! What’s the point of having authoritarian institutions that by design cannot constrain? A short 🧵:

Thrilled our paper on operationalizing natural experiments, particularly extreme weather, is accepted Journal of Politics @[email protected] (w/ F. Quoss, GESIS @gesisorg.bsky.social). Nat. exps. offer a unique way to analyze causal effects in real-world settings. But operationalization is often messy journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/73….

Just open-sourced the course materials of my course "Data Science in Politics and Public Administration" at HKU. github.com/haohanchen/das…

🔌 What is the status of 🇨🇳Chinese financed overseas power plants + how do they vary regionally? Explore the latest data in the China's Global Power Database: gdpcenter.org/3SJVcPX

Extracting information from a dataset of 3 million documents issued by Chinese central, provincial, and municipal administrations to assess China's industrial policies over the period 2000 to 2022, from Hanming Fang, Ming Li, and Guangli Lu nber.org/papers/w33814

🎙️The APSR is opening a new Research Notes track! Authors may now submit directly as Notes—or, with editor agreement, have papers reclassified during review. Notes should be ≤7,000 words (excl. refs/appendices).

More climate disaster won't necessarily lead to more climate change mitigation support. In our newest paper, we find people closest to the fires in the 2021-2022 fire season prioritized local adaptive action, rather than mitigation. link.springer.com/article/10.100…