Some: “My AGI is built from a Popperian framework.” Popper: “I will mention here ten points which throw some light on the differences between the theorist’s and the instrumentalist’s approach, and between theories and computation rules.”

a questionable take

This week: This week, the AI expertise conundrum plus forest fires, frosty fingers, tuna collar, etc. tl;dr: AI helps experts ask better questions but misleads novices. Use it for synthesis, not invention — keep humans central to meaning-making. Read: uncertaintymindset.substack.com/p/gbw282025

uncertainty/not-knowing is the unavoidable condition of discovery and innovation: vaughntan.org/innovation-and…

lol

how does this work if errors are not patterned enough to develop representative examples and/or occur at predictable times

In Ljubljana teaching on resilience + uncertainty, and on meaningmaking and the future of work. Other bits: → “Human mRNA” → Slovenian rustication → Art thinking for uncertainty → Stovetop espresso innovation → Risk mindset and NYC floods Full post: uncertaintymindset.substack.com/p/gbw292025

the now page is a very good idea this is what i've been doing now-ish: vaughntan.org/now-ish

I wrote about games that operationalise true uncertainty, not just simple risk, to help players become better at making decisions when facing different types of not-knowing. vaughntan.org/uncertaintygam…

This week I wrote about: Games of uncertainty (not risk); art thinking and generative uncertainty; veal parts; accidents of the knee and of wine; patterns in fashion, AI consultants, editable drawings, AI4HR; coffee time. uncertaintymindset.substack.com/p/gbw302025

Most unknowns we face aren’t just “risk.” They’re messier, richer, and more generative—not-knowing in different forms. I wrote about how to see, name, and use them better: vaughntan.org/nksynthesis

roaster, cafe, training facility, cupping studio. all in the same unit (in barcelona). i call this a “stacked space”: an adaptive, innovative layering of uses. wrote more here: stacked spaces → vaughntan.org/stackedspaces structured messes → vaughntan.org/structuredmess

🙏🙏🙏 i ❤️ when people actually just try the framework out — it looks unnecessarily theoretical and abstract but actually is pretty concrete and 100% designed for implementation here it is again: vaughntan.org/nksynthesis

This week: I put years (nearly 2 decades!) of not-knowing into 1 diagramme; stacking spaces; desert salmon, observances of death, apples and flags ranked, radioactive fruit flies, wasps, and tumbleweeds, dubious assessments of AI. More here: uncertaintymindset.substack.com/p/gbw322025

imv, intentional (i.e., designed) uncertainty about what will go into a space and how it will interact with other entities in the space can create great spaces that adapt and evolve over time. wrote about one aspect of it here: vaughntan.org/structuredmess

Categories aren’t academic—done well, they’re a competitive edge. They clarify decisions, help spot bad data, and make experiments faster. This post shows why good categorisation pays off: vaughntan.org/categorywins

Good categorisation wins over pure empiricism; Singapore's 60th birthday; a low-intervention wine experiment; the concept of enlightenment in Zen/Chan, aliveness in things and humans, drone delivery. uncertaintymindset.substack.com/p/gbw332025 (with random photo for the algorithm)

Ran a multi-disciplinary workshop in Adelaide in June to develop mechanisms for experiencing different types of not-knowing. Result: ideas like 'the camera of not-knowing' that teaches how to take useful action without certain causation. A good read: vaughntan.org/nkondemand

Current AI UX tricks us into thinking we're talking to something that can make value judgments. We're not. So I tested a prototype UX for an AI that helps users learn to think critically. Students went from vague to sharp arguments in 2hrs. More here: vaughntan.org/aiux

In this week's issue: An award nomination, AI tools that support critical thinking; not-knowings, on demand; organisational interventions for uncertainty; subliminal learning, K4, satisfying toys, cat trains, bromism, and convincing others. uncertaintymindset.substack.com/p/gbw342025