Vadim Vinichenko
@v_vinichenko
Post-doctoral researcher at @chalmersuniv. Energy transitions, technology growth and decline, coal, renewables
ID: 1163096764272058369
https://www.polet.network/ 18-08-2019 14:34:40
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73 Followers
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Coal-fired generation in 2016. China and India collectively account for 56% of the global total. Data source: International Energy Agency
How ambitious is the growth of onshore #windpower in the International Energy Agency #NetZeroBy2050 #NetZero2050Roadmap scenario? Here is a summary of a recent analysis on POLET.network. polet.network/blog/netzero-w⦠1/9
Our new Nature Energy paper estimates max growth rates of #windpower and #solar in 60 largest countries in comparison to the growth envisioned in #IPCC 1.5 and 2Β°C scenarios Vadim Vinichenko Jessica Jewell ππ Jale Tosun Joel Gordon ENGAGE-Climate go.nature.com/3wObDgL 1/12
We just launched an interactive tool polet.network/resources for #solar & #wind growth from the amazing Vadim Vinichenko. The tool supports our Nature Energy article rdcu.be/cptRl on #renewable growth
Historical analysis finds no precedent for the rate of coal and gas power decline needed to meet the climate change limiting target of 1.5Β°C set by the Paris Climate Agreement. Learn more in One Earth: cell.com/one-earth/fullβ¦ Jessica Jewell ππ Vadim Vinichenko Aleh Cherp πΈπͺπͺπΊπΊπ¦
Can growth models based on historical data forecast the future of #renewables? Surprisingly, they can! Gompertz model extrapolation by Avi Jakhmola closely matches International Energy Agency #WEO21 STEPS, APS scenarios and BloombergNEF projections for #solarpower bit.ly/3B4vFpB 1/6
We need to dramatically reduce use of #fossils to reach 1.5Β°. Has something similar ever happened in the past? Vadim Vinichenko Aleh Cherp πΈπͺπͺπΊπΊπ¦ & I find surprising historical cases of fossil fuel decline in our new One Earth paper bit.ly/3B7nLMb 1/12
Is there a realistic chance to end coal power fast enough to save the climate? Trends in coal phase-out policies show that it may still be feasible to stay within 2-3Β°C warming. With Vadim Vinichenko lola nacke Marta Vetier Jessica Jewell ππ π§΅ 1/15 iopscience.iop.org/article/10.108β¦
π§΅Outstanding new paper on coal phase out plans by Vadim Vinichenko lola nacke Marta Vetier Jessica Jewell ππ Aleh Cherp πΈπͺπͺπΊπΊπ¦ Phasing out coal for 2 Β°C target requires worldwide replication of most ambitious national plans despite security and fairness concerns iopscience.iop.org/article/10.108β¦
Does nuclear grow slower than wind and solar? Or do they grow just as fast under right conditions? And what realistic combinations of wind, solar and nuclear can reach climate targets? See our new paper w Vadim Vinichenko & Jessica Jewell ππ bit.ly/3RCzbDm IOP Environment π§΅