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TrendTao

@trend_tao

The below posts are trade ideas that adhere to my methodology for trading. They are not investment advice.

ID: 1514109697254641666

linkhttps://linktr.ee/trendtao calendar_today13-04-2022 05:14:30

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๐Ÿ”ฎ Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 13, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐ŸŒ Market-Moving News ๐ŸŒ ๐Ÿ“‰ CPI cooldown keeps cut odds alive โ€” July CPI came in +0.2% m/m, +2.7% y/y; Core +0.3% m/m, +3.1% y/y, reinforcing a โ€œdisinflation but not doneโ€ vibe. Watch $SPY/$SPX vs. $DXY and $TLT as markets

๐Ÿ”ฎ Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 13, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ
๐ŸŒ Market-Moving News ๐ŸŒ

๐Ÿ“‰ CPI cooldown keeps cut odds alive โ€” July CPI came in +0.2% m/m, +2.7% y/y; Core +0.3% m/m, +3.1% y/y, reinforcing a โ€œdisinflation but not doneโ€ vibe. Watch $SPY/$SPX vs. $DXY and $TLT as markets
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๐Ÿ”ฎ Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 14, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐ŸŒ Market-Moving News ๐ŸŒ ๐Ÿ“‰ CPI cooldown keeps cut odds alive โ€” July CPI held at +0.2% m/m (2.8% y/y); Core +0.3% m/m (3.1% y/y) heading into todayโ€™s PPI. Watch $SPY/$SPX vs $DXY and $TLT for inflation momentum cues. ๐Ÿค

๐Ÿ”ฎ Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 14, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ

๐ŸŒ Market-Moving News ๐ŸŒ
๐Ÿ“‰ CPI cooldown keeps cut odds alive โ€” July CPI held at +0.2% m/m (2.8% y/y); Core +0.3% m/m (3.1% y/y) heading into todayโ€™s PPI. Watch $SPY/$SPX vs $DXY and $TLT for inflation momentum cues.
๐Ÿค
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๐Ÿ”ฎ Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 15, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐ŸŒ Market-Moving News ๐ŸŒ ๐Ÿ”ฅ PPI Shock Keeps Cuts in Question โ€” July producer prices +0.9% m/m (largest in ~3 yrs) with broad gains in goods & services. Rate-cut odds pared; watch front-end yields, $DXY, $TLT, and cyclicals.

๐Ÿ”ฎ Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 15, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ
๐ŸŒ Market-Moving News ๐ŸŒ

๐Ÿ”ฅ PPI Shock Keeps Cuts in Question โ€” July producer prices +0.9% m/m (largest in ~3 yrs) with broad gains in goods & services. Rate-cut odds pared; watch front-end yields, $DXY, $TLT, and cyclicals.
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๐Ÿ”ฎ Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 18โ€“22, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐ŸŒ Market-Moving News ๐ŸŒ ๐Ÿ”๏ธ Jackson Hole (Thuโ€“Sat): Chair Powell headlines the Kansas City Fed symposiumโ€”path-of-rates + growth vs. inflation = front-page risk for $SPY $SPX $DXY $TLT. ๐Ÿ“ FOMC Minutes (Wed): Deeper read

๐Ÿ”ฎ Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 18โ€“22, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ
๐ŸŒ Market-Moving News ๐ŸŒ

๐Ÿ”๏ธ Jackson Hole (Thuโ€“Sat): Chair Powell headlines the Kansas City Fed symposiumโ€”path-of-rates + growth vs. inflation = front-page risk for $SPY $SPX $DXY $TLT.
๐Ÿ“ FOMC Minutes (Wed): Deeper read
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๐Ÿ”ฎ Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 19, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐ŸŒ Market-Moving Headlines Global markets tread water ahead of Jackson Hole. Asian equities slipped while European futures edged up on signs of diplomatic progress in the Russiaโ€“Ukraine crisis, as markets await Fed Chair

๐Ÿ”ฎ Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 19, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ

๐ŸŒ Market-Moving Headlines

Global markets tread water ahead of Jackson Hole. Asian equities slipped while European futures edged up on signs of diplomatic progress in the Russiaโ€“Ukraine crisis, as markets await Fed Chair
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๐Ÿ”ฎ Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for Wednesday, August 20, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐ŸŒ Market-Moving News Jackson Hole in focus; dollar firms. Traders lean ~84% odds of a 25bp cut in September; watch $DXY vs. $SPY/$TLT as Powell risk approaches. Retail baton passes from HD to LOW/TGT. After

๐Ÿ”ฎ Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for Wednesday, August 20, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ
๐ŸŒ Market-Moving News

Jackson Hole in focus; dollar firms. Traders lean ~84% odds of a 25bp cut in September; watch $DXY vs. $SPY/$TLT as Powell risk approaches. 

Retail baton passes from HD to LOW/TGT. After
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Market maker been on point with their expectations $SPY $QQQ #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #StockTok #OptionsFlow #Gamma #MarketStructure #Liquidity #SPX #TradeSetup #RiskReward

Market maker been on point with their expectations 

$SPY $QQQ #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis 
#StockTok #OptionsFlow #Gamma #MarketStructure #Liquidity #SPX #TradeSetup #RiskReward
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๐Ÿ”ฎ Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for Thursday, August 21, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐ŸŒ Market-Moving Headlines Tech jitters spill as Jackson Hole kicks off. Global equities slipped following a tech sellโ€‘off driven by concerns over U.S. intervention in chipmakers, while traders await Fed Chair

๐Ÿ”ฎ Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for Thursday, August 21, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ

๐ŸŒ Market-Moving Headlines

Tech jitters spill as Jackson Hole kicks off. Global equities slipped following a tech sellโ€‘off driven by concerns over U.S. intervention in chipmakers, while traders await Fed Chair
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๐Ÿ”ฎ Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for Friday, August 22, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐ŸŒ Market-Moving News Powellโ€™s Jackson Hole keynote is the main event (10:00 AM ET). Markets want clarity on the path to cuts and any framework tweaks; the Fedโ€™s own calendar lists the speech and KC Fed confirms

๐Ÿ”ฎ Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for Friday, August 22, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ

๐ŸŒ Market-Moving News

Powellโ€™s Jackson Hole keynote is the main event (10:00 AM ET). Markets want clarity on the path to cuts and any framework tweaks; the Fedโ€™s own calendar lists the speech and KC Fed confirms
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IWM is looking clean for straddle Rate sensitivity = outsized move risk. ยฑ1.3% setup... it moves that normally in one ATR, imagine on catalyst day... $IWM $RUT #OptionsFlow #FinTwit

IWM is looking clean for straddle 
Rate sensitivity = outsized move risk.  
ยฑ1.3% setup... it moves that normally in one ATR, imagine on catalyst day...

$IWM $RUT #OptionsFlow #FinTwit
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๐Ÿ”ฎ Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 25 โ€“ 29, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐ŸŒ Market-Moving Themes Jackson Hole aftermath ๐Ÿ”๏ธ Powellโ€™s Friday keynote sets the tone. Markets will trade on whether he opened the door to a September cut or stuck to a cautious stance. Expect chop in $SPY, $TLT, $DXY

๐Ÿ”ฎ Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 25 โ€“ 29, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ
๐ŸŒ Market-Moving Themes

Jackson Hole aftermath ๐Ÿ”๏ธ
Powellโ€™s Friday keynote sets the tone. Markets will trade on whether he opened the door to a September cut or stuck to a cautious stance. Expect chop in $SPY, $TLT, $DXY
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๐Ÿ”ฎ Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for Tuesday, August 26, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐ŸŒ Market-Moving Headlines Post-Jackson Hole digestion ๐Ÿ”๏ธ โ†’ markets recalibrate. Traders continue parsing Powellโ€™s keynote; the path of cuts into September remains the dominant driver for $SPY/$TLT/$DXY. Durables

๐Ÿ”ฎ Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for Tuesday, August 26, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ
๐ŸŒ Market-Moving Headlines

Post-Jackson Hole digestion ๐Ÿ”๏ธ โ†’ markets recalibrate. Traders continue parsing Powellโ€™s keynote; the path of cuts into September remains the dominant driver for $SPY/$TLT/$DXY.

Durables
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๐Ÿ”ฎ $SPY / $SPX Scenarios โ€” Wednesday, Aug 27, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐ŸŒ Market-Moving Headlines ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโžก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ U.S. slaps 50% tariffs on Indian goods (textiles, gems, leather, machinery) starting today โ€” inflation & trade ripple risk. ๐Ÿ’ป Earnings spotlight: Nvidia, CrowdStrike, Snowflake, Alibaba

๐Ÿ”ฎ $SPY / $SPX Scenarios โ€” Wednesday, Aug 27, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ

๐ŸŒ Market-Moving Headlines
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโžก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ U.S. slaps 50% tariffs on Indian goods (textiles, gems, leather, machinery) starting today โ€” inflation & trade ripple risk.
๐Ÿ’ป Earnings spotlight: Nvidia, CrowdStrike, Snowflake, Alibaba
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๐Ÿ”ฎ $SPY / $SPX Scenarios โ€” Thursday, Aug 28, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐ŸŒ Market-Moving Headlines ๐Ÿ”๏ธ Jackson Hole aftershocks: Markets still digest Powellโ€™s stance; cut odds for September in focus. ๐Ÿ“‰ GDP revision risk: Growth momentum under the microscope with Q2 update. ๐Ÿ› ๏ธ Labor market cooling?

๐Ÿ”ฎ $SPY / $SPX Scenarios โ€” Thursday, Aug 28, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ

๐ŸŒ Market-Moving Headlines
๐Ÿ”๏ธ Jackson Hole aftershocks: Markets still digest Powellโ€™s stance; cut odds for September in focus.
๐Ÿ“‰ GDP revision risk: Growth momentum under the microscope with Q2 update.
๐Ÿ› ๏ธ Labor market cooling?
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๐Ÿ”ฎ $SPY / $SPX Scenarios โ€” Friday, Aug 29, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐ŸŒ Market-Moving Headlines ๐Ÿ”ฅ Fedโ€™s favorite inflation gauge hits: PCE arrives just as markets digest Powellโ€™s Jackson Hole tone. ๐Ÿ’ต Consumer under the microscope: Spending & income data reveal demand strength heading into fall.

๐Ÿ”ฎ $SPY / $SPX Scenarios โ€” Friday, Aug 29, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ

๐ŸŒ Market-Moving Headlines
๐Ÿ”ฅ Fedโ€™s favorite inflation gauge hits: PCE arrives just as markets digest Powellโ€™s Jackson Hole tone.
๐Ÿ’ต Consumer under the microscope: Spending & income data reveal demand strength heading into fall.
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๐Ÿ”ฎ Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios โ€” Sept 2 to Sept 5, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐ŸŒ Market-Moving Themes ๐Ÿฆ Fed focus resumes โ€” Powell & Fedspeak post-Jackson Hole + ๐Ÿšฉ Beige Book Wednesday โ†’ markets parse rate-cut odds. ๐Ÿ“Š Labor week heavy โ€” ๐Ÿšฉ NFP Friday, ๐Ÿšฉ ADP Wednesday, ๐Ÿšฉ JOLTS Tuesday, ๐Ÿšฉ

๐Ÿ”ฎ Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios โ€” Sept 2 to Sept 5, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ

๐ŸŒ Market-Moving Themes
๐Ÿฆ Fed focus resumes โ€” Powell & Fedspeak post-Jackson Hole + ๐Ÿšฉ Beige Book Wednesday โ†’ markets parse rate-cut odds.
๐Ÿ“Š Labor week heavy โ€” ๐Ÿšฉ NFP Friday, ๐Ÿšฉ ADP Wednesday, ๐Ÿšฉ JOLTS Tuesday, ๐Ÿšฉ
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๐Ÿ”ฎ $SPY / $SPX Scenarios โ€” Wednesday, Sept 3, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐ŸŒ Market-Moving Headlines ๐Ÿฆ Traders bracing for a labor + Fed double header โ€” ADP jobs and the Beige Book will steer rate-cut odds into Fridayโ€™s NFP. ๐Ÿ“‰ Stocks drifted Tuesday post-JOLTS miss โ€” markets looking for

๐Ÿ”ฎ $SPY / $SPX Scenarios โ€” Wednesday, Sept 3, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ
๐ŸŒ Market-Moving Headlines

๐Ÿฆ Traders bracing for a labor + Fed double header โ€” ADP jobs and the Beige Book will steer rate-cut odds into Fridayโ€™s NFP.
๐Ÿ“‰ Stocks drifted Tuesday post-JOLTS miss โ€” markets looking for
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๐Ÿ”ฎ $SPY / $SPX Scenarios โ€” Thursday, Sept 4, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐ŸŒ Market-Moving Headlines ๐Ÿ“‰ Markets on edge after ADP + Beige Book โ€” traders want to see if Thursdayโ€™s labor + growth data confirm a slowdown. ๐Ÿฆ Treasury supply + Fed tone continue to steer $TLT/$TNX. โš™๏ธ Productivity &

๐Ÿ”ฎ $SPY / $SPX Scenarios โ€” Thursday, Sept 4, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ
๐ŸŒ Market-Moving Headlines

๐Ÿ“‰ Markets on edge after ADP + Beige Book โ€” traders want to see if Thursdayโ€™s labor + growth data confirm a slowdown.
๐Ÿฆ Treasury supply + Fed tone continue to steer $TLT/$TNX.
โš™๏ธ Productivity &
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๐Ÿ”ฎ $SPY / $SPX Scenarios โ€” Friday, Sept 5, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐ŸŒ Market-Moving Headlines ๐Ÿšฉ Jobs Friday = make or break. Nonfarm Payrolls, unemployment, and wages will lock in Fed expectations into September. ๐Ÿ“‰ Positioning light ahead of NFP โ€” futures choppy as traders square books. ๐Ÿ’ฌ

๐Ÿ”ฎ $SPY / $SPX Scenarios โ€” Friday, Sept 5, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ

๐ŸŒ Market-Moving Headlines
๐Ÿšฉ Jobs Friday = make or break. Nonfarm Payrolls, unemployment, and wages will lock in Fed expectations into September.
๐Ÿ“‰ Positioning light ahead of NFP โ€” futures choppy as traders square books.
๐Ÿ’ฌ