Tipswatch (@tipswatch) 's Twitter Profile
Tipswatch

@tipswatch

Talking about Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, plus I Bonds and Treasurys in general, on the Tipswatch.com site, since March 2011.

ID: 1931097834

linkhttp://www.tipswatch.com calendar_today03-10-2013 15:35:51

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TIPS and I Bond investors face a ‘sky is falling’ moment. Can U.S. economic data be trusted? tipswatch.com/2025/08/10/tip…

TIPS and I Bond investors face a ‘sky is falling’ moment. Can U.S. economic data be trusted? tipswatch.com/2025/08/10/tip…
IwasRetired (@iwasretired) 's Twitter Profile Photo

There are troubling signs health costs for Medicare retirees and those using ACA prior to Medicare will surge in 2026. See video with one DIY retiree's take plus 5 tips to help: youtu.be/0qVZrc5zVp0

There are troubling signs health costs for Medicare retirees and those using ACA prior to Medicare will surge in 2026.  See video with one DIY retiree's take plus 5 tips to help: youtu.be/0qVZrc5zVp0
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T-bill auction results today: 13-week, investment rate of 4.252%, down from 4.268% last week. 26-week, investment rate of 4.108%, down from 4.118% last week.

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The July inflation report will be issued tomorrow at 8:30 am ET. Consensus calls for all-items at 0.2% for the month and 2.8% for the year, an uptick from 2.7% last month. Core is also expected to tick higher.

The July inflation report will be issued tomorrow at 8:30 am ET. Consensus calls for all-items at 0.2% for the month and 2.8% for the year, an uptick from 2.7% last month. Core is also expected to tick higher.
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EJ Antoni may be a credible nominee to head the BLS. He could modernize the agency. But damn, getting an endorsement from Steve Bannon is a dangerous thing.

EJ Antoni may be a credible nominee to head the BLS. He could modernize the agency. But damn, getting an endorsement from Steve Bannon is a dangerous thing.
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All-items CPI rose 0.2% in July, as expected, but annual rate came in at 2.7%, same as for June. Core inflation rose 0.3% for the month and now is at 3.1% year over year, higher than both expectations (3.0%) and the annual rate for June (2.9%). Overall, slightly negative report.

IwasRetired (@iwasretired) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Core CPI 3.1% is troubling. Even if headline is flat at 2.7%. Thoughts? Are we going to see a return of high inflation by yearend?

Core CPI 3.1% is troubling.  Even if headline is flat at 2.7%.  Thoughts? Are we going to see a return of high inflation by yearend?
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U.S. annual inflation held steady in July at 2.7%, better than expected. But core inflation ticked higher. What does this mean for TIPS, I Bonds and the Social Security COLA? tipswatch.com/2025/08/12/u-s…

U.S. annual inflation held steady in July at 2.7%, better than expected. But core inflation ticked higher. What does this mean for TIPS, I Bonds and the Social Security COLA? tipswatch.com/2025/08/12/u-s…
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The conservative-leaning Wall Street Journal just published a pretty negative piece on Trump's BLS nominee E.J. Antoni. "Several independent economists said he is unqualified." wsj.com/politics/polic…

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Today's T-bill auction results: 4-week, investment rate of 4.354%, down from 4.374% last week. 8-week, investment rate of 4.271%, down from 4.322% last week.

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This is wild: "An industry group estimated exports of U.S. distilled spirits to Canada at $43.4 million over the first six months of 2025, down about 62% from the same period in 2024. Exports of American wine were about 67% lower." wsj.com/business/us-al…

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Did you know that President Nixon once worried about a "Jewish cabal" at the BLS? It's part of an interesting history of political influence over the data-reporting agency. Created by TLRAnalytics. tipswatch.com/2025/08/15/a-h…

Did you know that President Nixon once worried about a "Jewish cabal" at the BLS? It's part of an interesting history of political influence over the data-reporting agency. Created by TLRAnalytics. tipswatch.com/2025/08/15/a-h…