Stephen Koukoulas (@thekouk) 's Twitter Profile
Stephen Koukoulas

@thekouk

Treasury, Head of Global Strategy TD, Advisor to PM, punter. Speaker at Ode Management - goo.gl/3Gj5VZ
MD Market Economics; Also pinkpear.com.au

ID: 43525891

linkhttp://www.thekouk.com calendar_today30-05-2009 13:14:58

81,81K Tweet

62,62K Followers

2,2K Following

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2025 can get better: How's about.... Collingwood minor premiers Collingwood premiers Nick Daicos Browlow Jamie Elliott Coleman #GoPies Collingwood FC

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The slower the RBA is to cut rates, the bigger the pile-up of economic problems later. ~ Stephen Koukoulas Stephen Koukoulas The Reserve Bank's latest interest rate cut is too little, too late independentaustralia.net/politics/polit… via @IndependentAus

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Agree with Peter. Other than stamp duty & complexity, Shane is wrong on everything else. Does he advocate the US or Korean income tax structure? Tax scales are effectively indexed every election cycle. Look at tax scales now compared to 10 or 20 years ago. I could go on

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April monthly inflation confirmed what all good economists have known for some time – inflation is low, stable & at risk of breaking below the mid-point of the 2 to 3% target band. As the RBA’s focus turns to jobs & growth more rate cuts are needed. Soon. youtube.com/watch?v=Yz25hF…

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If so, and it looks a good call, the RBA is around 50-75bs behind where it should be. Alas no meeting till July. x.com/Scutty/status/…

Stephen Koukoulas (@thekouk) 's Twitter Profile Photo

ICYMI Headline inflation has been on target for 9 straight months; trimmed mean now for 5 straight months. Current 3.85% cash rate is obviously obsolete - RBA is 75bps behind in setting rates where rates should be.

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The Productivity Commission report today was not all that helpful. Here's one reason why. My take on productivity independentaustralia.net/politics/polit…

The Productivity Commission report today was not all that helpful.
Here's one reason why.
My take on productivity
independentaustralia.net/politics/polit…
Stephen Koukoulas (@thekouk) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Business investment is dead flat - it's the next bit of problematic news. Capex fell 0.1% in the March qtr to be 0.5% down on a year ago. Expected Capex for FY2025-26 is basically flat (non-mining is down a bit) which is troubling or should be for the RBA. youtube.com/watch?v=PPEk3L…

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Mosman Protester Throws Glass of ’94 Penfolds Grange on Famous Artwork to Raise Awareness About Superannuation Changes theshovel.com.au/2023/03/02/mos…

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More minus signs on economic data. RBA must be worried. Building approvals -13% in last 2 mths. Retail trade fell in April. RBA needs to cut 50bps in July. It is now well behind where it should be - monetary policy is still restrictive, how dumb is that? youtube.com/watch?v=0yriNO…

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In retirement, superannuants are required to drawdown their investment assets to fund retirement. For those with a farm, this has to imply they sell it off it bits & bobs from 65 yrs old till death. Otherwise, how do they find the cash to drawn down? industrysuper.com/retirement-inf…

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House Prices edge up in May as supply & demand continue to hold the fort The Cotality series rose 0.5% in May, locking in a mildly positive tone. House prices are up just 1.7% in the last 5 months. Unemployment will determine whether this uptick continues. youtube.com/watch?v=6FukQ7…

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Having defence spending set at % of GDP is mind numbingly silly. Surely it’s best to spend the appropriate amount whatever that %age is.

Stephen Koukoulas (@thekouk) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The RBA considered a 50bp cut in May. Alas, it chickened out. Unfortunately the monetary policy python squeeze is in play for longer.