🚨 If you didn’t know what party a candidate stands for, could you infer it? New WP with Stavros Poupakis on voting behaviour and statistical discrimination in low-information settings. A Thread. #polisciresearch

Spotlighting articles Does digital advertising affect vote choice? A. Coppock, D. Green & Ethan Porter find that social media advertisements during the 2018 US midterm elections had small estimated effects on Democratic vote share at the precinct level. doi.org/10.1177/205316…

Donald Trump’s presidential campaign is a triumph of a political strategy that demonises opponents and encourages partisan loathing. But how does it work, and what does it mean for the future of democracy? econ.st/3Ap4Sdt 👇

IN NEW ISSUE: A Theory and Test of Pledge-Based Voting: Troels Bøggild & Carsten Jensen examine the effects of election pledges on citizens’ vote choice in Political Studies: journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.11… Political Studies Association @SAGECQPolitics #elections #democracy #polsci Department of Politics and International Relations

Don't miss out on this guide on how to run surveys: on creating your own identifying variation: more than 80 pages and an Appendix with examples including social desirability, vignettes, information treatments and more.

Our paper on "Electoral Turnovers" with Benjamin Marx and Vincent Rollet is now forthcoming at The Review of Economic Studies ! Full thread on what we do and find here: x.com/VinPons/status…

Will the US negativity to immigration reverse now? Quite likely! Folks forget immigration backlash works both ways. Pro-immigration politics may be unpopular, but so is unnecessarily cruel anti-immigration politics. "Reverse Backlash" is open-access now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/nf…

Our politics is closely divided & thermostatic. Expect more turns ahead: governing.com/politics/why-p…

We have a new working paper on gender backlash. Making use of a new shift-share instrument and Swiss panel data, we find that higher labour market participation of women leads to more gender conservative attitudes among men. They do not translate into far right support, however.

Is 😍LOVE😍 blind? No--but❤️can blind us! Being in love messes with automatic, early-stage attentional processes When we're in love---and reminded of it---we simply DON'T EVEN NOTICE 🌶️attractive🌶️ opposite-sex targets (Single people do notice them!) doi.org/10.1016/j.jesp…

When politicians' motivation is framed in line with feminine traits—as a public service rather than a struggle for power—women consider themselves just as capable as men of participating in politics link.springer.com/article/10.100…

A 5- to 9-seat majority will be very hard for Mike Johnson to control. And it makes Dems the favorites to flip the House in 2026. The average midterm since WWII has resulted in the president's party losing 25 seats:

The Twitter exodus has started, but maybe it should have started long ago? Our new study in Nature Communications shows that political abuse on X is a global, widespread, and cross-partisan phenomenon nature.com/articles/s4146…

There is now more and better social science content on BlueSky compared to X. Please join us on a non-political, more civil platform!

politicians tend to think that voters are identity rather than policy oriented, retrospective, egocentric, single-issue-focused, & leader over idea oriented (with comparisons to public theories): cambridge.org/core/journals/…

📝New publication 📝 Our academic, Raluca L. Pahontu, and Stavros Poupakis used facial recognition software for a study which examined whether voters associate parliamentarians with a political party based solely on how they look 🤖🖥️ More 👇 kcl.ac.uk/news/do-first-…

Delighted to share that my work is now out Journal of Politics @[email protected] journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/73…

Very cool - my argument that citizens rely on evolved cheater detection abilities when evaluating political leaders replicates in China!

Can embarrassment of one's party dampen partisanship and polarization? One would think. In a forthcoming paper at poqjournal, Taylor Carlson, Steven Webster, and I examine what we call "partisan embarrassment," including looking at the ramifications of these feelings...