🔥The 9th Round of Easy Loan, Earn $40 Reward is in progress❗️ ⏰ Promotion Period: January 15th - Feburary 15th, 2025 👉 Register now and check more details at gate.io/campaigns/358

How much data do you need to conduct an informative staggered diff-in-diff? In our new working paper Florian Hollenbach 🤷🏻‍♂️ and I simulate the power of #DiD estimators, and find that you might need *a lot*, even to detect large effects. We also provide suggestions for improving power 1/

🚨 Please read + repost: 🚨 14 hours until the big run! My team & I arrived in Idre Fjäll! The weather is AWFUL, the vibes are GREAT! So far, we collected 1,100€ of donations for Scholars At Risk - thanks!!! 🙏🏽 Please continue to give & share: gofund.me/ed070d60 🧵1/5

UMNO and DAP in the same coalition in #Malaysia PDIP and PKS considering teaming up in #Indonesia Pheu Thai and the Democrats in coalition talks in #Thailand Power-sharing, not polarization, is becoming the dominant dynamic in #SoutheastAsia

Looking for a postdoc (2 yrs) to join Jacob Gunderson and me Göteborgs universitet / University of Gothenburg in European Research Council (ERC) project on factions. Focus on measuring factions’ influence strategies w surveys. Details: tinyurl.com/b2rrt7ec Deadline: 31 Oct womenalsoknowstuff FirstGenScholars @POCalsoknow

🚨 My book is out today: academic.oup.com/book/57946 🚨 2024 has been full of elections. In many, radical-right politicians made important electoral gains. My book hopes to contribute to debates on the rise of these politicians by putting forward a theory around social norms. 1/23

But the speed of growth of radical-right support is at odds with the relative stability of attitudes and preferences. This suggests that some important political phenomena may change at rates that seem incompatible with preference-based explanations. 5/23

Pita Limjaroenrat (Pita Limjaroenrat) joins ISEAS - Yusof Ishak Institute & discussant Duncan McCargo for a hybrid seminar titled, "Thailand at a Crossroad: Challenges and Pathways to Democratic Reform" Oct 4 @ 11 AM (Singapore) tinyurl.com/37yfnup4 #Thailand #Democracy #SoutheastAsia #Authoritarianism

Blame games have become a regular feature of hashtag#EU politics 🇪🇺 – but who ends up as being held responsible when EU policies fail? ❗️Our new book challenges the conventional wisdom that the complexity of the EU renders European blame games untargeted and diffuse!

What's the difference between intraparty preference heterogeneity, disagreement and conflict? Why are some these bad for parties but not others? We (w/ Nicole Bolleyer, Geschwister-Scholl-Institut f. Politikwissenschaft) tidy up the field and provide first answers. OA European Research Council (ERC)

This exit poll data is wild: White men, white women, Black men, Black women, Latina women ALL tracking their 2020 numbers very closely. Latino men, 2020: Biden 59%, Trump 36% Latino men, 2024: Harris 45%, Trump 53% A HUGE shift from D+23 to R+8

The importance of democracy on the ballot... for Harris and Trump voters.

📢The Chair of Comparative Political Science (Prof. Dr. Nicole Bolleyer) Universität München is currently seeking a postdoctoral researcher. The post should be filled no later than April 1, 2025. The position is part of the ERC-funded project CIVILSPACE (cps-lmu.org/civilspace.html).

The King Can Do No Wrong by Scott Williamson - Scott Williamson Examines why some autocrats are better at avoiding blame, and why today's ruling monarchies have been surprisingly resilient. 📚 cup.org/3UZ6n9j

When and why do some elite divisions in authoritarian governments improve democratization prospects and others do not? Masaaki Higashijima / 東島 雅昌 and I provide one (of many) answer in a new article in Comparative Political Studies! #OpenAccess 🤓  doi.org/10.1177/001041…

The project "How to Make the Case for Democracy" has been funded by DFG public | @[email protected]! 🎉 This grant supports two positions for exploring innovative strategies to bolster citizen support for democracy in established democracies. (1/6)

cambridge.org/core/journals/… 🚨 Super excited to see my paper, "Unconditional Loyalty: The Survival of Minority Autocracies", finally out in the American Political Science Review American Political Science Review Quick thread below🧵