Bravo UVA, Jefferson would be pleased. "The history of the present King of Great Britain is a history of repeated injuries and usurpations, all having in direct object the establishment of an absolute Tyranny over these States" nytimes.com/2025/10/17/us/…

"Rucho" (+Trump) strike again with another Gerrymander. J. Miles Coleman on what is among the more frustrating aspects of our system. NC GOP State Senator Berger swaps a Dem seat for a Trump endorsement? Rating the New North Carolina Republican Gerrymander centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/ra…

With so much noise (or is that backhoes at the White House?) you can lose track, but read Kyle Kondik for Larry Sabato + @Center4Politic Open Senate seats in MN+ NH seem better for Dems, VA for lovers and potentially wild GOV +AG races. How much drop off? centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/no…

Something to think about from Laura Rozen open.substack.com/pub/diplomatic…

Interesting from Kyle Kondik for Larry Sabato Center for Politics at UVA 'Ohio changes mean that we now have 214 districts rated as Safe, Likely, or Leans GOP, 204 Safe/Likely/Leans Dem, 17 Toss-ups. However, if CA Prop 50 passes Tuesday, expect some D upgrades" centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/ra…

Election returns: Tonight Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball editors Kyle Kondik & J. Miles Coleman are again covering Election Night with the CBS News Data Desk in New York. Watch and follow for latest news and updates.

Dispassionate analysis of election returns from Kyle Kondik for Larry Sabato Center for Politics at UVA Newsom gets win in CA maps, long look at VA. Redistricting may, be net zero "there are enough competitive seats that the majority could go either way." 2015 vibe? centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/de…

A few thoughts about the Great Crash of 1929 and the value of soothing words when institutions and elected officials (from our President on down) don't meet the moment. 3quarksdaily.com/3quarksdaily/2…

For Veterans Day and Armistice Day, remembering sacrifices on our behalf. "When it was over, four dynasties had fallen—Austria, Germany, Russia, and the Ottoman Empire. Between 17 and 20 million died, another 20 million wounded, the majority, civilians." 3quarksdaily.com/3quarksdaily/2…

"October 24, countless hearts beat with fear. 12,894,650 shares traded, in the words of John Kenneth Galbraith, “many of them at prices which shattered the dreams and the hopes of those who had owned them.” A Less Than Pleasing Prospect: The Great Crash disq.us/t/4xf61ef

Spanberger and Sherrill work the middle for a centrist electorate. Mamdani success built on affordability and a voter base more Left. Lessons for Democrats nationally. Measured take from Alan Abramowitz for Larry Sabato Center for Politics at UVA centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/th…

Digging deeper into the NJ/VA Results: Kyle Kondik J. Miles Coleman Larry Sabato Center for Politics at UVA Interesting movement back towards Ds among Hispanic/Asian voters+a lurch right among ultra-Orthodox Jewish groups. Electoral realignment, or situational noise? centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/si…

"As irony would have it, Hoover’s acceptance speech would include the following: “We in America today are nearer to the final triumph over poverty than ever before in the history of this land.” A Less Than Pleasing Prospect: The Great Crash disq.us/t/4xf61ef

Approaching the 158th Anniversary of Lincoln at Gettysburg, the agonizing choice that began it. "What peaceful options did he have besides either surrendering his Presidency, or surrendering the principles that got him elected in the first place?" disq.us/t/4m8trwa

A day short of the anniversary of the Gettysburg Address, some thoughts on what the Poet Laureate of American politics learned from four aching, brutal years. Malice towards none. Radical Reconciliation: Lincoln’s Second Inaugural disq.us/t/3ml6jcr

Well-reported by Patrick Marley for WAPO Court blocks GOP-friendly congressional map in Texas wapo.st/47XtjN7

D's see House chances improve in MI-3, TX (15+34), VA (7+10), WA-6 Read it all from Kyle Kondik Larry Sabato Center for Politics at UVA But SCOTUS wildcard w/VRA Section 2 case could reset calculus. Roberts wrote Shelby, hostile to VRA, as are several R Justices centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/ho…

A quiet moment in the big city. Perfect night to go for an early evening run in ⁦Central Park⁩

John F. Kennedy at Vanderbilt "But this Nation was not founded solely on the principle of citizens’ rights. Equally important, though too often not discussed, is the citizen’s responsibility. For our privileges can be no greater than our obligations." 3quarksdaily.com/3quarksdaily/2…