Temperatures remain high, despite the expectation of a transition to La Niña by September-November 2024, persisting through January-March 2025. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/09/water-…

There is a huge amount of heat in the ocean around North America, with sea surface temperatures as high as 33.3°C (91.94°F) recorded on September 5, 2024. A deformed Jet Stream can at times boost the Gulf Stream that carries ocean heat to the Arctic Ocean. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/09/water-…

Methane concentrations as high as 2400 ppb were recently recorded at the NOAA observatory in Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/09/water-…

More water vapor and rainfall combined with higher temperatures threatens to cause more methane releases from lakes and wetlands. High temperature anomalies were recorded by Climate Analyzer in northern Europe on September 7, 2024. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/09/water-…

The image shows high methane levels forecast at surface level in northern Europe by Copernicus for September 7, 2024, 03 UTC (run 00 UTC). arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/09/water-…

More ocean heat threatens to cause even more methane to erupt from the sea. More water vapor and rainfall combined with higher temperatures will also cause more methane release from lakes, wetlands and permafrost in the north of Canada, Europe and Siberia. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/09/water-…

There is a huge amount of heat in the ocean around North America, with sea surface temperatures as high as 33.6°C (92.48°F) recorded on September 6, 2024. A deformed Jet Stream can at times boost the Gulf Stream that carries ocean heat to the Arctic Ocean. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/09/water-…

For 14 consecutive months, the monthly temperature anomaly has exceeded 1.2°C above 1951-1980 or - more aptly - 2°C above pre-industrial, and is rising again, even while El Niño ended April 2024. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/09/water-…

The temperature anomaly map for August 2024 illustrates poplar amplification. A deformed Jet Stream can at times boost the flow of heat carried by wind and water toward the Poles. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/09/water-…

Temperatures remain high, even while a transition to La Niña is expected by Sep-Nov 2024, persisting through Jan-Mar 2025. A strong El Niño could develop in 2025 which, in combination with higher than expected sunspots, could make a difference of 0.75°C. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/09/water-…

Amazon burning! Forecasts for September 9, 2024 03 UTC (run 00 UTC) adapted from Copernicus, illustrating gases and aerosols released due to forest fires in the Amazon. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/09/water-…

Arctic sea ice on September 10, 2024 (left). Image at top right is from earlier date, not yet showing the 2024 minimum, yet it shows that minimum volume in earlier years was not as far below 5000 km³ as it was in 2024, as shown on the bottom right image. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/09/water-…

Temperature anomaly through August 2024 has been more than 1.5°C above 1903-1924 for 14 months. The red line shows the trend (2-year Lowess Smoothing) associated with the recent rise. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/09/water-…

The temperature rise is hitting the Arctic hard, as illustrated by the zonal map created with NASA Land-Ocean Temperature Index data. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/09/water-…

Image created with monthly mean global temperature anomalies by LOTI Land+Ocean NASA/GISS/GISTEMP v4 data using a 1903-1924 base, trend added based on Jan 2016-Aug 2024 data. Anomalies could be 0.99°C higher when using a more genuine pre-industrial base. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/09/will-w…

El Niño conditions were present from June 2023 through April 2024. ENSO-neutral started in May 2024. El Niños typically occur every 3 to 5 years, but they can occur every two years. Peaks in El Niño & sunspots could jointly increase temperatures by 0.75°C. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/09/will-w…

High methane concentrations (well over 2400 ppb) were recently recorded at the observatory in Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/09/will-w…

Very low Arctic sea ice volume on September 16, 2024. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/09/will-w…

Black dashed line indicates transition to La Niña in Oct 2024, persisting through Jan-Mar 2025. The danger is that there could be a new El Niño in 2025, while temperatures remain high due to feedbacks and while sunspots reach a peak, expected in July 2025. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/09/will-w…

Very low Arctic sea ice volume on September 17, 2024. arctic-news.blogspot.com/2024/09/will-w…