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I’ve argued for three decades that the India-Pakistan nuclear equation is a lot more stable than scholars and others give it credit for. Despite Vance & Rubio, this clash yet again demonstrates that stability. But…

The past 36 hours on the India-Pakistan front have been tumultuous. ASPI’s Raji Pillai, PhD; raji143.bsky.social on BlueSky unpacks the issues with this operational update, looking at what we do & don’t know, and how the nations involved in the conflict negotiations show its global impact. aspistrategist.org.au/india-pakistan…

Why memorize facts when the rules to create them are so much more fascinating?

Some achievements but also some setbacks as far as the deterrence consequences of the recent clashes are considered, I argue in ⁦ThePrintIndia⁩ theprint.in/opinion/did-in…

I think I’ll start a thread of commercial satellite imagery of the aftermath of the India-Pakistan conflict. Feel free to send me things.

The Indian side's thoughts on this here: hindustantimes.com/india-news/ind…

In Trump’s America: kids can’t have more than two dolls, but the president can accept a $400 million ultra-luxury jet from Qatar’s royal family, just weeks after the Trump Organization signed a deal to build a luxury golf resort there.

But he’s only taking one jet, he’s letting kids have two dolls, c’mon man!

Speaking to ABC News, Raji Pillai, PhD; raji143.bsky.social on BlueSky explains why the India-Pakistan conflict is unlikely to escalate to a nuclear level: "Even after the two countries went nuclear in 1998, they have engaged in multiple conflicts but have always been limited in nature." Read ⤵️abc.net.au/news/2025-05-1…

Great reporting by Snehesh Alex Philip ThePrintIndia about the sequence of events. But also raises the question of why India’s info management was so poor DURING the crisis.

Congratulations, Khushi پدما and your collaborators!!

As India defined a “new normal” with Pakistan last week, the “old normal” in the world around us has begun to unravel: do read👇

"....an examination of satellite imagery indicates that while the attacks were widespread, the damage was far more contained than claimed — and mostly inflicted by India on Pakistani facilities. nytimes.com/interactive/20…

We had so much to talk about at the Track 1.5 Dialogue at Da Nang with colleagues Defence Australia Raji Pillai, PhD; raji143.bsky.social on BlueSky) ASPI, Hervé Lemahieu The Lowy Institute & ANU College of Asia and the Pacific ANU North America ANUBellSchool & Diplomatic Academy of Vietnam

Somehow had missed this. Taiwan Foreign Ministry statement supporting India's action. It expresses firm support for all legitimate and necessary actions taken by the government of India to safeguard national security and fight terrorist forces that cross borders to attack

Charles Ornstein The New Yorker Another great recent one:

This is par for the course. If one has to engage on India twitter, this comes with the territory. I know this is what normal Indians are not like. Pity is that sometimes this abuse is the first experience people have of Indians. And it does shape their views of India.

Congratulations, Syed Ali Zia Jaffery!

Interesting arguments by Arzan Tarapore re India's shifting strategy towards Pakistan, as suggested by Op Sindoor.