📝New paper w/ Ruofan Ma and Aleksei Opacic on the pitfalls of a common way to test for causal mechanisms: the "intermediate outcome test." We show that they are only informative under very strong assumptions that are almost never discussed in practice. mattblackwell.org/files/papers/s…

💡Do women's experiences in employment, education, and outside of marriage drive them to the left? Does that contribute to the modern gender vote gap? 👭 New article with Rosalind Shorrocks in Comparative Political Studies where we tackle this question using 🇬🇧🇩🇪🇨🇭panel data: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/00…

It’s disturbing how many people have made willful ignorance a central part of their identity. I see people on here bragging that they refuse to read something and others cheering them on. It’s not shameful to read something you don’t agree with. You might learn something. Or

We've worked on individual differences since 1889! Come write the next chapters in history with University of Tartu and Estonian Biobank! 🔔Post-docs sought for personality, cognition, well-being, genetics and/or health research using a large population study. Please RT /1

Peter Esaiasson and I spent a lot of time on this newly published paper. It was NOT one of those papers that wrote itself. (Is there ever?) We make two bigger points.

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Thrilled to announce the release of Uprooted: How Post-WWII Population Transfers Remade Europe today with Cambridge University Press - Politics! 🎉🎉🎉 📚[Amazon link: tinyurl.com/24m2mbkf] Every year, millions are displaced by war, repression, disasters, and climate change. My book shows that

So happy to announce that my book with Tara Slough is now out at Cambridge Elements!! External Validity and Evidence Accumulation Part 1 develops key theoretical concepts for evidence accumulation. Part 2 applies those concepts to meta-analysis, replication, and extrapolation