Cato The Censor (@paul_aqrm) 's Twitter Profile
Cato The Censor

@paul_aqrm

Macro trader looking for market asymmetries, fiat bear, FX Jedi. Solitary reserve USD delenda est. Believer in humanity, blocker of IYIs. Pacifist.

ID: 861522728570040320

calendar_today08-05-2017 10:06:39

16,16K Tweet

1,1K Followers

194 Following

Cato The Censor (@paul_aqrm) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Maybe Bloomberg talking heads could finally learn basic facts about FX? Number one reason for changes in cross-rates is capital flows, not "dovish grandpas and grannies". European money is coming back home, at least for now.

Cato The Censor (@paul_aqrm) 's Twitter Profile Photo

This year Brazil's index is a no. 2 performer among major equity markets (China is number 1) but boy, how much upside is condensed in this one? Crazy.

Cato The Censor (@paul_aqrm) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Hey ZH, maybe define "tariffs are working" first? Collected tariff money amounts to 3-4% of total government spending and data is yet to show us who is "paying" for them (another vague concept).

Cato The Censor (@paul_aqrm) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Only positive employment readings are credible according to this news aggregator pretending to be a trader. Oh well, same old, same old...

Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) 's Twitter Profile Photo

To make it pedagogical, LLM is an autocomplete function that randomizes based on the statistical frequency: + Probability matching: if in the frequency space, the autocomplete is at 85% "take an umbrella" and 1/10^6 "have squid ink", it will do 85% of the time "take an umbrella".