big thanks to Mauisnake and an anonymous supporter (ko-fi's weird like that) for their generous donation to my ko-fi page. funds will help me get to Belgrade for the HLTV awards and buy a new SSD drive to store my data at ko-fi.com/btrams

here's my take on a win probability metric, AWP only for now 🇰🇿 molodoy>m0NESY? this tournament for sure! 🥖the 3 French AWPers ranked dead last. ZywOo went 16-16 in terms of AWP K-D in this event 🟥gr1ks had a lot of positive impact, but died the most in close situations, by

emotional support coaching

molodoy's plant in round 9 came in just 10 ticks after the round ended - that's just 0.15s MOUZ ended up winning out the rest of their CT rounds, with the game finishing up 11-13, truly a game of fractions of a second

this should explain everything

all hope is not lost for MOUZ after their loss on mirage - they've done a great job neutralizing donk's mid play on ancient this year they've gone 2-1 against spirit on that map this year (with the loss happening Cologne group stage to be fair)

cool shot

sure, donk can dominate the Lanxess, but can he do it on a random wednesday night online game against Passion UA? we'll find out today, but history says he can - wednesdays are his 2nd best rated day of the week (Maui's on the desk, go check it out) ZywOo's semi against MOUZ

so, was gr1ks' issue that he just has never seen a flashbang? not according to my data! in the tier2 games he played against better teams, he spent more time flashed than in his brief HEROIC stint. his rate of dying while flashed remained very low (lowest in my tier2 sample)

after today's loss against HEROIC, compLexity is 7-19 (27% win rate) in close games - the worst percentage of anyone with at least 25 maps this year (A-Tier and S-Tier liquipedia tournaments, 2025, defined close game as 13-10, 13-11 or OT)

coL are 1-9 in close games after leading at half time this year

Riot has SPECIFICALLY GIVEN ME 5 TFT Lillia Chibis for a giveaway 💀💀💀 How to enter: 💀Like, Retweet & Follow💀 That's it Also if you maybe post a funny comment I will consider you more GL LILLIA ENJOYERS 🦌

one streak's over, another one remains in tact Spirit got a map win with donk getting a sub 1.0 rating for the first time in 8 months since both this game and the NiP win aren't considered Big Events by HLTV, the Big Event streak dates back to this G2 map from over a year ago

straight up AWP vs. AWP duels! 🇳🇴 hallzerk and 🇵🇱 ultimate among the bottom 3, but were the 2 most often flashed while dying 🇵🇱 hades played like a TRUE POLISH PATRIOT with a K-D of 21-37 🫡 the guys with the BLAST logo are still currently in the Bounty

selena

should be good to go on memory until 2027! cheers guys Mauisnake Janko Paunovic and everyone else who donated to my kofi page

Spirit's system is built for donk to carry, we'll have to see if tN1R's arrival affects their sole dependence on that win condition nicks' transfer into MIBR has seemingly put insani into elo hell. they've won 1 of their 6 series this season, with insani putting up a 1.17 rating

🚨 LOOKING FOR WORK 🚨 I'm Ludvig "quacke" Nilsson and I'm looking for work in esports and gaming! 👋 I have several years of experience in diverse roles such as writing, podcasting, social media management, casting and more.

hey, wanted to do a quick analysis of the -zont1x +tN1R move. in this thread i will: -> go over why nuke might be an issue for new Spirit -> look at bozo death numbers -> mention why the move might make Spirit a complete team 📸on the header: Steph 📸

launders ct side win rate for rounds where we have a 4v4 for more than 5s previous patch: 43.88% after economy change: 49.79% (written real quick, hope the numbers are good)