Erin Clark o52.5 PP 🧱 Similar betting profile to Thompson in a middle heavy matchup 📊 Averaging 55 in base this season 🔥 Expecting high workrate in a grindy contest 1.75u @ $1.87 (Bet365)

Trent Loiero o50.5 Naf Whyte o44.5 (Pick’em) 🔁 First pick’em play of the year 📈 Both trending in the right direction and playing solid minutes ⚠️ Small stake as we need both to land 1.25u @ $3.20 (Dabble)

Jaydn Su’A o45.5 PP 🧱 Averaging 43 in base alone with legit attacking upside 📉 Cowboys rank dead last defensively 🚨 Their right edge is also the worst in the comp 2.0u @ $1.85 (Dabble)

Reuben Cotter o45.5 PP R.Cotter v J. De Belin H2H 🧱 Covered 2 of his last 3 since moving to the edge 💪 Absolute base monster with elite motor 🕒 Locked into an 80 minute role which we love 2.00u @ $1.87 (Bet365) - PP 0.5u @ $2.05 (Bet365) - H2H

Adam Reynolds u73.5 PPP 📉 Averaging just 65.1 this season 🧠 Moses inclusion should tighten this game well below the 15.5 point line 🧭 Expect Walsh and Mam to shine on the edges with Reynolds in a facilitating role 2.00 @ $1.85 (Dabble)

Broncos 1-12 🧠 Expecting this one to be tighter than the market suggests 🛌 Broncos off a bye but Parra get Moses back and have shown promise 💪 Broncos should be too strong but Eels can hang in 1.00u @ $3.60 (TAB)

Beau Fermor o46.5 PPP 🧱 Averaging 46 in base alone across the season ⚡ Adds 0.4 tries and 0.3 linebreaks per game, attack is live 📊 15 starts on an edge this year, covered 11 times 2.25u @ $1.87 (Bet365)

Marata Niukore u34.5 PPP 📉 11 games on an edge this season with only 5 covers ⚠️ Just 2 overs without attacking stats 🧱 Averaging 31 in base, needs a try or assist to hit 1.5u @ $1.87 (Bet365)

Moses Leota o38.5 PPP 🔁 Took the under recently but this is a great spot to flip 🧱 Up against a side that should force Penrith into a grind 📉 Reduced line after a quiet few weeks gives us value 2.25u @ $1.87 (Bet365)

Siosifa Talakai ATS 📈 Sharks left edge ranks 3rd in the comp for attacking production 📉 Souths have conceded 22 tries to opposition left wingers and centres 🚨 Souths right side defence ranks 15th of 17, clear weak spot 1.5u @ $2.75 (Dabble)

Lachlan Hubner u48.5 PP ⚠️ Forward pack is depleted but his role still feels unreliable 📉 4 games over 50 minutes this season and never cleared 48 in base 🧮 Just a numbers play, not enough output to trust the over 1.75u @ $1.85 (Dabble)

🦈 Run it back with Vea’ila at $2.55 (1.25u)

Leo Thompson u50.5 PPP 📉 Line sits at 47.5 on Bet365 which feels accurate, 50.5 on Dabble is too high 📊 Has only cleared 50 in 2 of his last 6 games 🧮 Value play purely off inflated number 1.75u @ $1.85 (Dabble)

Hudson Young u55.5 PPP 🧱 Averaging just 46 in base this season ⚔️ Faces KPP who has conceded only 4 tries to left 2RFs all year 📉 Hasn’t cleared this line in base alone all season 📊 47% try rate but backing Knights defence to hold strong 2.25u @ $1.85 (Dabble)

Knights u14.5 Total Match Points 📉 Only gone over 14.5 in 3 away games all season 📊 Averaging just 11.8 points per game against top 4 teams 🚫 Rank 17th in the NRL for overall attack, dead last 1.75u @ $1.80 (Sportsbet)

Viliame Kikau Kikau v J.Trbojevic H2H PP 2.00u - $1.87 / Bet365