Timothy Peterson (@nsquaredvalue) 's Twitter Profile
Timothy Peterson

@nsquaredvalue

Bitcoin Pathfinder | Network Economist
Author of "Metcalfe's Law as a Model for #Bitcoin's ₿ Value" & "The Debauchery of Currency: a Bloody History of #Money"

ID: 983820686576713728

linkhttps://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=2848613 calendar_today10-04-2018 21:35:04

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The High Yield interest rate is over 8%. What happens next for Bitcoin? This has happened 38 times since 2010 (monthly data). 3 months later: Bitcoin was up 71% of the time. The median gain was +31%. If it went lower, the worst loss was -16%. This likely puts Bitcoin between

The High Yield interest rate is over 8%.  What happens next for Bitcoin?

This has happened 38 times since 2010 (monthly data).

3 months later:
Bitcoin was up 71% of the time.
The median gain was +31%.
If it went lower, the worst loss was -16%.

This likely puts Bitcoin between
Timothy Peterson (@nsquaredvalue) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Green lines parallel and same length. Blue lines parallel and same length. Bitcoin could reach $137,000+ by July, but only if history repeats.

Green lines parallel and same length.
Blue lines parallel and same length.

Bitcoin could reach $137,000+ by July, but only if history repeats.
Timothy Peterson (@nsquaredvalue) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The US has been in an undeclared recession for 30 months. The US Leading Economic Index fell again in March. This marks 39 months underwater. for comparison: 1974: 15 mos 1979-82 double dip: 34 mos 1990: 6 mos 2001: 10 mos GFC: 17 mos 2020: 2 mos

The US has been in an undeclared recession for 30 months.

The US Leading Economic Index fell again in March.  This marks 39 months underwater.  

for comparison:
1974:  15 mos
1979-82 double dip:  34 mos
1990:  6 mos
2001:  10 mos
GFC: 17 mos
2020: 2 mos
Clinton Donnelly (@cryptotaxfixer) 's Twitter Profile Photo

🚨Do not sign this letter! 🚨 Letter 6174-A is yet another IRS scare tactic, written differently from Letter 6173 but serving the same purpose—pressuring taxpayers into self-incrimination over past cryptocurrency transactions. The IRS is targeting 2016–2020 tax years, which are

Timothy Peterson (@nsquaredvalue) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The 4 Things I'm Watching that Point to Bitcoin New ATH in 100 Days. In order of least important to most important. (Day 2, continued tomorrow) Seasonality. Investment seasonality refers to predictable, recurring patterns in asset performance at certain times of the year,

The 4 Things I'm Watching that Point to Bitcoin New ATH in 100 Days. 

In order of least important to most important. 
(Day 2, continued tomorrow) 

Seasonality.  Investment seasonality refers to predictable, recurring patterns in asset performance at certain times of the year,
Timothy Peterson (@nsquaredvalue) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The 4 Things I'm Watching that Point to Bitcoin New ATH in 100 Days. In order of least important to most important. (Day 3, continued tomorrow) $VIX and Volatility. I described this here: x.com/nsquaredvalue/… Anything below 18 would be considered "risk on". This could

The 4 Things I'm Watching that Point to Bitcoin New ATH in 100 Days. 

In order of least important to most important. 
(Day 3, continued tomorrow) 

$VIX and Volatility.  I described this here: x.com/nsquaredvalue/…

Anything below 18 would be considered "risk on".  This could