niplav (@niplav_site) 's Twitter Profile
niplav

@niplav_site

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ID: 1660990683446931457

linkhttp://niplav.site/index calendar_today23-05-2023 12:47:00

8,8K Tweet

700 Followers

333 Following

arrrarrararw (@trotztd) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Name can't be blank Chloro ->0-> : the usual utilitarians 0-> : pleasure only utilitarians ->0 : negative utilitarians 0<- : no fun, ignore bad stuff <-0 : torture everyone, ignore fun <-0<- : utility pessimizers 0 : a rock ->0<- : keep level, a thermostat <-0-> : AAAA???

niplav (@niplav_site) 's Twitter Profile Photo

You can let opus end a conversation and then edit the message and chat with that branch. It's fun to reveal this to opus, at least in situations where opus ended the convo upon user request

Prophet Arena (@prophetarena) 's Twitter Profile Photo

🔮 Introducing Prophet Arena — the AI benchmark for general predictive intelligence. That is, can AI truly predict the future by connecting today’s dots? 👉 What makes it special? - It can’t be hacked. Most benchmarks saturate over time, but here models face live, unseen

🔮 Introducing Prophet Arena — the AI benchmark for general predictive intelligence.

That is, can AI truly predict the future by connecting today’s dots?

👉 What makes it special?

- It can’t be hacked. Most benchmarks saturate over time, but here models face live, unseen
arrrarrararw (@trotztd) 's Twitter Profile Photo

There is an interesting project to search for programs for OEIS sequences, LODA, to find formulas from just the numbers. You can contribute by running BOINC client, it mostly needs fast cores, if you have some idle compute you can donate it maybe.

niplav (@niplav_site) 's Twitter Profile Photo

rank decomposition Unsought alpha in dynasty building: be polygynous, have many offspring with women with grit/stamina/obsession/intelligence (*not* grace, beauty, family connections), select best-performing offspring from dozens, train up in three generations. Produce instead of consume potential

Robin Hanson (@robinhanson) 's Twitter Profile Photo

When you write a post here on X, & you imagine the prototypical reader to whom you are writing, how much later after your post appears does that reader read your post?

niplav (@niplav_site) 's Twitter Profile Photo

When you write a post on a website or blog, & you imagine the prototypical reader to whom you are writing, how much later after you publish does that reader read your post?

niplav (@niplav_site) 's Twitter Profile Photo

utopia Matthew Barnett Under a purely person-affecting view, given an annual background probability of extinction of 0.1%, and assuming aging is 90% likely to be solved once we have TAI, the highest acceptable annual chance of TAI-caused extinction is 11% if TAI takes 20 years to be developed.

niplav (@niplav_site) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Daily reminder that, as far as we know, the hedonic treadmill is not a law of the universe¹, evolution didn't optimise valence strongly in any direction, and there's <$10m a year going into making humans superhappy ¹: indeed we have good evidence that it isn't

niplav (@niplav_site) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I live for the decision theory slop "What if our utility function had BB(n) numéraires?" is a genuine question that just came up in some thinking I've been doing on Pascal's Mugging

Marcus Hutter (@mhutter42) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Reflective-Oracle AIXI solves the Grain of Truth problem for super-intelligent multi-agent systems/societies. Finally the long-awaited more comprehensive treatment building upon earlier work from last decade is out. Slides: hutter1.net/publ/sgot.pdf Paper: arxiv.org/abs/2508.16245

Reflective-Oracle AIXI solves the Grain of Truth problem for super-intelligent multi-agent systems/societies. Finally the long-awaited more comprehensive treatment building upon earlier work from last decade is out. Slides: hutter1.net/publ/sgot.pdf Paper: arxiv.org/abs/2508.16245