Market thoughts (update) →Total 3 (total altcoin marketcap) Still in the middle of things, not the ideal entry level imo. Still close to the range high, and more importantly, entering here wouldn’t provide a clear invalidation. Watching a couple of scenarios to deploy (or

JPMorgan predicting bitcoin at $170k in next 6-12mo, says perp deleveraging is behind us and that's it undervalued vs gold historically, which implies "significant upside next 6-12mo"

Coinbase Bitcoin Premium is deep negative. It seems like another big outflow day is coming for $BTC.

Container shipping traffic from China to the US is in freefall: The cargo vessel count from China to the US has dropped to 41, the lowest since February 2024. The number of large cargo ships has declined -30, or -42%, over the last 3 weeks. This is well below the average of

My analog chart below continues to track perfectly, which puts us somewhere in the spring of 1999. If the 2022 bear market and subsequent soft landing was analogous to 1994 and 1995-1997, then the 2025 phase of the current bull market looks like 1998-1999. A sharp but

CARGO CRASH: THE GLOBAL ECONOMY JUST BROKE Right now, as you read this, 42% of shipping containers between China and America have vanished in three weeks. Gone. From 71 vessels to 41. Below the 60-ship floor that held for twenty years. This is not a dip. This is cardiac arrest

🚨 BTC가 다시 ‘위험한 구간’으로 진입했습니다 CME 갭으로 가는 10~15% 하락 92k~93k 지금 차트에 딱 그 자리가 남아 있음. ETF 유출 지속되는중 ETF는 6일간 20억 달러 순유출 Coinbase Premium 계속 깊게 음전 이 상황을 반전시킬 수 있는 조건은 다음과 같습니다 ETF 주간 순유입 ≥ 40억달러

Important clues to spotting the Bitcoin & Altcoin bull run tops Bitcoin dominance right now is around 61%. During the final stages of a Bitcoin bull run, BTC/USD climbs while BTC dominance DROPS (this is also when altseason occurs, simultaneously). Chart 1 depicts this for both

Is $BTC going to follow gold? If so, it looks like it could begin within the next week. Is it really possible that gold and stocks saw meteoric rises to new ATHs in recent months but BTC won't follow? I find that hard to believe. Personally, I'm still of the belief that the

$BTC Is losing the bull market support band with this week's breakdown. This is not the first time this happened this cycle. Generally it is a sign to be cautious as it does mean the trend is losing strength. But as long as price consolidates slightly below, there's always a

Everyone seems to be perplexed that BTC suddenly stopped following M2. The reason this chart is broken is because liquidity that never actually reaches the markets can't bid up price. It's a market plumbing issue. BTC responds to who HAS the liquidity, not just how MUCH exists

THE WORLD’S MOST IMPORTANT NUMBER JUST COLLAPSED November 6, 2025: SOFR crashed to 3.92%. The lowest level in two years. The benchmark that controls $397 trillion in global contracts just signaled something catastrophic. This is not a rate cut. This is a liquidity flood. THE

SOFR’s Drop Is The Market Front Running the Fed That sharp plunge in SOFR is the money markets reacting before the headlines. The system is already adjusting to what’s now effectively policy: the Fed cutting twice this fall, announcing an end to balance sheet runoff on December

Where We Are in the 65 Month Liquidity Cycle (Nov 9, 2025) Look past the noise and this chart by CrossBorder Capital/ GLIndexes shows global liquidity moves in a 65 month tide. The red dashed curve is the rhythm; the black line is reality. When the black line climbs toward the dashed crest,

The Great AI Illusion is over. McKinsey's data reveals the silent collapse. 88% of companies use AI. A mere 1% have mature systems. This is not adoption. This is mass delusion. We are witnessing the largest failed transfer of technology in human history. Companies are bolting

History shows us that having too much debt during an economic downturn leads to a classic, self-reinforcing cycle where: 1) The empire can no longer borrow the money to repay its debts 2) It prints a lot of new money, which devalues the currency and raises inflation 3) Living

🇺🇸 BREAKING: U.S. LAWMAKERS UNVEIL SWEEPING CRYPTO MARKET STRUCTURE BILL…A MAJOR STEP TOWARD FEDERAL OVERSIGHT What Stands Out Most What jumps off the page is how comprehensive this bill is. It isn’t just crypto regulation, it’s a full integration blueprint for how digital

⚡️This chart is the quiet confession of an empire that has inverted its own foundations. It shows the moment where money stopped being a measure of productivity and became a mechanism of survival. The blue line - federal debt as a percent of GDP - tells the story of a

It’s official - the Fed is likely to begin expanding its balance sheet again soon. For the first time since 2022. Bad takes will likely abound on X. Is this "liquidity positive" on the margin? (yes) Is this "QE"? (no) So, what's going on? And, more importantly, what does it

Market Outlook 1. Macro Cycle and The Chop 2. Medium Time Frame & My Plan 3. Altcoins I’m watching The chop continues. Green and red follow each other closely, and market participants get lured in and out for small losses. Let’s dive in and take a look at the market and how