He Claims He’s the ‘Sports Betting King.’ What Are the Odds? - The New York Times nytimes.com/2025/07/13/mag…

We were proud to and honored to contribute to The White House's Presidential Working Group on Digital Asset Markets report. See our contributions on page 15 and page 35 of the report!

US Severe Weather Prediction Market [1] Update: Above: NOAA Storm Prediction Center Yearly Cumulative Storm Report Counts [2]. Grey lines are individual years from 2007 to 2022. The red line is 2025 with an end-of-year prediction from a simple statistical model. US tornado

Polymarket's median market resolves in 4 days, but the power law makes that stat misleading. 50 markets have done 62% of PM's volume, and they resolved in 176 days 500 markets have done 82% of PM's volume, and they resolved in 145 days The long-running markets do most volume

Major move by Coinbase! Coinbase is set to launch prediction markets for U.S. users in coming months. The future is bright for prediction markets!!!

this 👇 Limitless has private valuation markets for Anthropic, Perplexity, and Databricks among others limitless.exchange/advanced/marke… limitless.exchange/advanced/marke… limitless.exchange/advanced/marke…

Today marks a historic day for tech & IPO markets. And we're not just talking about the $FIG IPO... While most of Silicon Valley is still locked out of IPO allocations, our team at Kalshi just unlocked a new way in (& something I’ve been dreaming about since 2017). Enter:

BREAKING: Maryland federal district judge Adam Abelson has DENIED Kalshi's motion for preliminary injunction against the Maryland Lottery, determines that Kalshi has failed to demonstrate a likelihood of success on the merits of its preemption claim. A new losing streak begins.

Op-Ed from academic gambling expert tries to muddy the water on prediction markets, citing Polymarket contracts in an attack on Kalshi.

NEW: Here's Sen. King's letter to the Arkansas attorney general asking if Kalshi is violating state law: gambling.com/us/news/arkans… via Gambling.com

NEW: Judge Abelson will hold a Zoom status conference in the Kalshi v. Maryland case on Thursday, August 7th, at 11 am EST. Possible topics of discussion: - Kalshi's anticipated stay motion - Discovery plan or an immediate appeal

Polymarket did over ~$750 million in Volume last month 500 top wallets did ~65% of that. 1000 wallets did ~75% PMs do not escape the power law common in the rest of finance and crypto

Too soon to tell if they solved the problem, but this is a huge step for a crypto prediction market in recognizing the problem.

NEW: Kalshi has filed a motion for summary judgment and an emergency motion to stay all discovery in its lawsuit against Nevada. Says entire case can be decided without any fact discovery. Nevada will argue that discovery needed on irreparable harm and claimed geofencing burden.