he ain’t lying

Ronald Acuña Jr. - Atlanta Braves (8)

Timothee Chalamet’d him

Dug back into a topic I love thinking about, pitch decay How does a pitch wane in effectiveness as it's thrown more? How do you repair that value? It applies to the at-bat of the year so far: Aaron Judge vs Garrett Crochet from June 13 Tease below, full video in thread!

This topic is catnip to me, and Lance covered it really well. Some companion pieces from me: On how Arsenal Metrics interact with TTO: baseballprospectus.com/news/article/9… And on the question of fatigue vs pitch-level familiarity and pitcher-level familiarity: baseballprospectus.com/news/article/9…

Taking inspiration and advice from both Stephen Sutton-Brown and Driveline Baseball, I built arsenal models for college baseball. You can read about it below: medium.com/@bradleyjg03/a…

We disproportionately overvalue the cosmetic shift from +1” HB (arm-side) to -1” HB (glove-side) on cutters—believing that crossing the zero line is where the real value lives. But strangely, we don’t treat the difference between -1” and -3” with the same urgency or perceived