Ever wondered whether your extreme evidence for a model is reproducible in a replication study? We propose a method to predict the posterior model probabilities on new data with a novel framework: Meta-Uncertainty. The best thing: It's applicable to virtually any analysis!

📣In meiner Abteilung ist eine Promotionsstelle (TVL-13, 75 %)🎓in einem Forschungsprojekt zu den neurokognitiven Grundlagen der Intelligenz ausgeschrieben: psychjob.eu/de/job/wissens… Bitte gerne teilen und retweeten! Ich stehe für Rückfragen jederzeit zur Verfügung. #PhDposition

💥Pre-print update alert: I have just resubmitted our paper on reliability of cognitive control and hierarchical Bayesian models, and updated the pre-print accordingly. No large changes in results, but definitely worth updating your copy. psyarxiv.com/z7ury/

🎉 gptstudio📦 is now on CRAN! 🎉 Seamlessly use GPT-3.5 (and soon #GPT4) in R workflows ⚡ 📌Features include RStudio-integrated #ChatGPT, code comments & more! Let's responsibly improve #rstats with the power of LLMs! 🌟🚀🔍 🔗 github.com/MichelNivard/g… 👥 @michelnivard

Dear tweeple, I am looking for an intensive longitudinal dataset (EMA/ESM) with at least two longitudinal measures (e.g., mindwandering, depression, etc.) and at least 1 cognitive covariate (e.g., working memory, attention, etc.). We have some well-working simulated data, (1/2)

Do you want to create a personal website but don't know where to start? My latest blog post is perfect for you.🚀 Learn how to create a website with #Quarto and my simple template to get started in no time! 👇 Check it out and create your website now. marvinschmitt.com/blog/website-t…

New (first🔥) preprint by my PhD student Meike Steinhilber on sequential ANOVAs: doi.org/10.31234/osf.i… We show that the sequential ANOVA is more efficient than the fixed ANOVA (on average requiring 58% smaller samples) and reliably controls long-term error rates! ✅

My first in person talk at a conference! It was a great experience! Thanks for organizing a great conference✨️ #iccmpsyched

😍The best paper I have ever read! 😍

I had a wonderful time at #ESCOP2023. First time I presented sequential testing on a real, not simulated, data set 😉. Thanks Dr. Beatrice G. Kuhlmann for this opportunity!

Did you see my PhD student Meike Steinhilber give her excellent talk on sequential testing at #ESCOP23 ? 🤩 You can also meet her at #fgme23 in Konstanz!

We made a thing! 🤩 Ich freue mich über euer Feedback zu unserem Podcast-Intro: denkbar.letscast.fm. 🎤 Ihr findet den Podcast auch auf allen Platformen, auf denen ihr sonst eure Podcasts hört -- Spotify, Apple Podcasts, Amazon Music, usw. ✨

💡Dynamic Structural Equation Stan Models Available Now! (see link below) Because of popular demand I figured I'd share our Stan models ahead of our tutorial paper. The Stan models are direct replicates of the 6 DSEM models from Hamaker et al.'s book chapter (2023). 🧵1/3

Some Happy Personal News: Last Saturday I got married to my best friend, my partner, and fellow scientist Meike Steinhilber. It was such a lovely and perfect day! We couldn't be happier!

If you are now wondering what QRPs in sequential ANOVAs might look like and how they influence the test properties, come to my talk tomorrow (online) at the #DGPs2024 I will present my latest work!