The risk-free rate is captured by the Effective Federal Funds Rate

Have politicians not woken up to the fact that elections are won or lost on social media?

When will the first election be won by OpenAI ChatGPT?

Elections will always be won and lost on Kalshi and Polymarket

Binary outcomes are being predicted with accuracy. Emotions running a little wilder in more specific trades.

So excited to have other crypto founders in the Benchmark family. I love databases, vertical saas and healthcare but love crypto more. Congrats Paul @pseudosey

“I quit” nominated for rock album of the year. First female band ever to be nominated in the category.

Stochaistic - the evaisive probability distribution

Internships at Hedge Funds will became popular again due to Polymarket Traders Kalshi

Smart contracts always offered hedging logic but no liquidity, prediction markets are solving this

If only Amtrak could capitalize on this moment

Catharpy - what founders do instead of going to therapy

I know that the UK invented the own goal but that doesn’t mean that we need to keep performing it

The change from consortia models to market models of tokenomics will is at the core of Tokenization

Leverage is a man's best friend, just like a dog it needs to be domestic

Why no rugby Kalshi

Do negs work on algorithms

Vegas hotels run the airline departures to ensure you stay an extra night

UX matters as we all become LLM extensions

Prediction markets will change the laws on insider trading. They demonstrate price movements move quicker to the outcome helping make the market more efficient. Milton Friedman “You want more insider trading, not less”. We are probably heading for some reforms that are more lax