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Nice piece from Ian Talley & Costas Paris about Iran's rising crude exports and lax US sanctions enforcement. Noam Raydan & I outlined this in graphic form last week for Washington Institute 👇

Exclusive: Qatar held separate talks this week with US, Iran touching on nuclear, drones with ⁦Parisa Hafezi⁩, ⁦Jonathan Landay Reuters⁩, ⁦Hümeyra Pamuk⁩ reuters.com/world/middle-e…

Deal is certainly not a "runway to some sort of rapprochement with Iran"--but a runway to resumed nuclear talks and efforts to continue de-escalation, it is.

#Iranian #oil exports have increased over the past three years, a consequence of relaxed U.S. sanctions enforcement and increased #Chinese demand for heavily discounted crude, write Henry Rome and Noam Raydan. Here's a visual guide to this expansion: washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysi…

غروب‌ محدودیت‌های برجام در ماه اکتبر؛ وضع تحریم‌ها بدون مکانیسم ماشه Louis Dugit-Gros لوي دوجيه-غرو Washington Institute washingtoninstitute.org/fa/policy-anal…

"The release of the five Americans is linked to the broader U.S. effort to de-escalate tensions with Iran," writes Henry Rome. washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysi…

“The consistent stock draws in the past 6-7 weeks and rapid Iranian floater buildup in Singapore OPL already hint at capped teapots’ appetite for fresh seaborne Iranian imports.”

«حتی اگر سهو کلام باشد…»

خبر درمانی…

🚨 Live tomorrow - Middle East Strategy Forum 2023 Featuring expert insights on the latest strategic developments in the Middle East. This year's conference theme is 'The Middle East in a Multipolar World'. Register to attend #MESF2023 virtually: mesf2023.eventbrite.ca

Re reports of potential new US-Iran direct talks 👇

Looking forward to discussing proliferation risks in the Middle East with Chen Zak Farzan Sabet & Henry Rome at 4:45pm ET. peacediplomacy.org/2023/09/16/mid…

💬 On the Biden administration's current approach to Tehran, Henry Rome Washington Institute: "We have settled on Plan C which is essentially deescalate tensions [and] buy time with the hope that a deal could be more viable in the future."

Pentagon says Houthi attack that killed Bahraini troops on Saudi border threatens the longest period of calm since the war in Yemen began:

بررسی گزارش مرکز پژوهش‌های مجلس نشان می‌دهد کسری تراز عملیاتی قانون بودجه 1402، 455هزار میلیارد تومان تخمین زده می‌شود که معادل حدود 20درصد منابع بودجه عمومی خواهد بود donya-e-eqtesad.com/%D8%A8%D8%AE%D…

آمارهای تازه منتشرشده ...از رشد اقتصادی بهار حاکی از آن است که در اولین فصل سال‌اقتصاد ایران 2/ 6‌درصد رشد را تجربه‌کرده است. آمارها نشان می‌دهد این رشد قابل‌توجه که در دوسال اخیر بالاترین رشد فصلی به‌شمار می‌رود، عمدتا از رشد سریع بخش نفت ناشی شده‌است. donya-e-eqtesad.com/%D8%A8%D8%AE%D…

🧵Watch @ECFR’s launch event for new policy brief: “Alone together: How the war in #Ukraine shapes #Russia-#Iran relationship”. With authors Ellie Geranmayeh & Nicole Grajewski, reflections from experts Henry Rome Abdolrasool Divsallar youtube.com/watch?v=8MNmaV…

5\ In recent ECFR event on #Russia-#Iran relations, Henry Rome sets out that Tehran is less isolated now than it was a year ago and certainly less isolated than it was a decade ago when JCPOA struck. Iran’s economic relations with 🇨🇳 + 🇷🇺have advanced, but major hurdles face them.

Recommend this thoughtful new Rand report by Michelle Grisé & @AlexandraTEvans on the outlook for the Iran-Russia relationship, which I was happy to peer review. rand.org/content/dam/ra…