David Spiegelhalter Here’s a quick replication (in Python) of the calculation of the probability of the observed deaths from a Poisson-gamma model, as per the last page of the witness statement (paragraphs 11.3-11.5). (Done on mobile phone, please excuse sloppiness.) gist.github.com/ilanfri/fef036…

Sunraged, Thane of Liverpool Dr Phil Hammond 💙 The police spread a guilty narrative before the original trial to prime the public from which the jury was drawn. They are doing it again. They are priming the public and potentially the CCRC participants. They are interfering with Letby’s right to a fair, unbiased review.

Did the managers get something wrong here? Oh yes they did. The managers and Letby absolutely made mistakes. Let’s be clear: she would NEVER have been safe to return to a unit where those who orchestrated a sustained smear campaign against her remained in positions of power -

Svilena “Within 10 minutes… it was very clear that what he was describing were not expected collapses or deaths… and nothing that they had done so far had certainly explained it.” – Susan Gilby Extraordinary. Just ten minutes — and Dr. Gilby had it all figured out. Murder, obviously.

18/8/23 just after the verdicts, Dewi talks of the "first FOUR babies". He has to specify what he means by "babies" ie "events"...as he KNOWS the 4th death was attended by Liz Marshall (present at the 1st 5 deaths - but only ACD were on his spreadsheet) youtu.be/8MTv_EKKNLw?si…

FRANKANDROSEY The lawyers don't seem to have obeyed their own rules about admissibility of evidence. I don't understand how Dewi Evans' bizarre hypotheses were ever accepted as evidence, especially as both he and Bohin had never seen an air embolism. cps.gov.uk/legal-guidance…

Just One More Thing? Debbie Kennett 🧬🌳 Richard Gill LWL Deb Roberts dostum68 M Thekublakhan😏 Sara Lockwood Michael B Ethan Sarah @k1ng5t0ng4rr1ck Anton Neil Ross TriedByStats LWH had reduced the number of cots due to infection risk and staffing..more infants from out of area were being accepted..cots weren't being deployed well..infants referred for a transfer tended to be more sick/unwell than described by the time the transport team arrived

Just One More Thing? Debbie Kennett 🧬🌳 Richard Gill LWL Deb Roberts dostum68 M Thekublakhan😏 Sara Lockwood Michael B Ethan Sarah @k1ng5t0ng4rr1ck Anton Neil Ross TriedByStats Especially since it's described as 3 different things. First 2 citations from INQ0017463_0037 and INQ0017463_0031 and the 3rd from INQ0101347_0012 And weirdly the 1st one doesn't come up in a word search...

The Guildford Four “confessed” to carrying out an IRA pub bombing, essentially under police torture. Their combined statements included over 140 contradictions. The prosecution explained these contradictions represented a brand new IRA tactic designed to confuse the police, and

Sophie Sweatman This is a potential problem as Starmer has mates in the CPS that he won't want to upset by doing what is right by investigating why they pressed ahead with charges with no evidence

Oh dear Mrs Langdale, it would appear that Lucy knew they were onto her in early April 2016. Do you too find it hard to believe she then went straight to work using insulin to frame herself on day shifts? Why don't you ask Eirian how Lucy attacked Baby N by night?

10/10/24 Liz Marshall tells Ms Lyons & Lady JT she was at "the first actual 5 deaths" A week goes by... 17/10/24 LJT hears Mrs Langdale tell Powell, as though Liz hadn't been at ACD&EI: "You both have the discussion about finding a person..you are suspicious about 3 deaths"

youtube.com/watch?v=wh7sQf… Lucy Letby: Taking The Oath Lightly? by Stuart Gilham. The Lucy Letby case set the record for longest trial in criminal justice history in the UK. Yet with an investigation, it may break another record, the most instances of perjury in a single trial.

Sunday evening, ITV

Lucy Letby: Scapegoat? | A Documentary to Free Lucy Letby youtube.com/shorts/-99iWwF… UK, 5 pm today

Richard Gill This point is about Mrs Langdale the TI lawyer who thinks gestation =acuity and level 2 nnus don't handle sick babies. Here she interviews Powell and Brearey. Are these legible?

I have just discovered that there are three warehouses in Quebec where Canada stores its maple syrup reserve. This is what $400,000,000 looks like.