Foreseeable. (@forseeable_pm) 's Twitter Profile
Foreseeable.

@forseeable_pm

Forecasting and Policy Analysis

ID: 1814388763902259204

calendar_today19-07-2024 19:56:26

386 Tweet

189 Followers

486 Following

Foreseeable. (@forseeable_pm) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The main reason why I am sure the US will intervene. "It's was the greatest explosion ever, folks, nobody explodes better than me, believe me. People are saying, 'Sir, its like God moved the mountain!' Maybe I'm a God now, maybe even greater. It really is tremendous, just

The main reason why I am sure the US will intervene.

"It's was the greatest explosion ever, folks, nobody explodes better than me, believe me. People are saying, 'Sir, its like God moved the mountain!' Maybe I'm a God now, maybe even greater. It really is tremendous, just
Foreseeable. (@forseeable_pm) 's Twitter Profile Photo

📍 FORDOW: A STRATEGIC DEFEAT BY DESIGN? The Islamic Republic of Iran appears to be steering toward a calculated loss. Under mounting pressure, and with dwindling options, the destruction of its underground nuclear facility at Fordow could be reframed — not as a defeat, but as a

📍 FORDOW: A STRATEGIC DEFEAT BY DESIGN?

The Islamic Republic of Iran appears to be steering toward a calculated loss. Under mounting pressure, and with dwindling options, the destruction of its underground nuclear facility at Fordow could be reframed — not as a defeat, but as a
Foreseeable. (@forseeable_pm) 's Twitter Profile Photo

📈 Latest Market Odds on U.S. Action & Fordow Right now, U.S. military action against Iran before July is trading at 65%: 🔗 polymarket.com/event/us-milit… 🇺🇸 The probability of the U.S. bombing Fordow is only at 59%: 🔗 polymarket.com/event/will-the… 🤨 That seems low. If the U.S.

Foreseeable. (@forseeable_pm) 's Twitter Profile Photo

With Trump now declaring that he’ll make a decision “within two weeks” — which, in Trump time, could mean tomorrow — the strategic calculus around Fordow is entering a critical phase. What’s often overlooked: Even 🇨🇳 has a DUAL interest in a U.S. strike. 1️⃣ Narrative leverage:

With Trump now declaring that he’ll make a decision “within two weeks” — which, in Trump time, could mean tomorrow — the strategic calculus around Fordow is entering a critical phase.

What’s often overlooked: Even 🇨🇳 has a DUAL interest in a U.S. strike.

1️⃣ Narrative leverage:
Phil Galfond (@philgalfond) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The Big Beautiful Bill is supposed to generate $1.1 billion in extra tax revenue from gamblers. It won’t. And, here’s how they could generate $100+ billion instead.

Foreseeable. (@forseeable_pm) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Hey Jonas Vandenbruaene, how is it that the positive mean return only seems to work for home teams? Doesnt this somehow imply that there is a structural underpricing for the HomeTeams Fair Value? Appreciate the paper!! :)

Hey <a href="/JonasVDBruaene/">Jonas Vandenbruaene</a>, how is it that the positive mean return only seems to work for home teams? Doesnt this somehow imply that there is a structural underpricing for the HomeTeams Fair Value? 

Appreciate the paper!! :)
Foreseeable. (@forseeable_pm) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Good lord... One can change to any nickname at any time on Polymarket , and - most obviously - "popular menswear influencer and writer who goes by the moniker x.com/dieworkwear DID ABSOLUTELY NOT bet $3.6 million on the market resolving as "no". 😂 WTF Oliver Knight?

Good lord...

One can change to any nickname at any time on <a href="/Polymarket/">Polymarket</a> , and - most obviously - "popular menswear influencer and writer who goes by  the moniker x.com/dieworkwear  DID ABSOLUTELY NOT bet $3.6 million on the market resolving as  "no". 😂

WTF <a href="/OKnightCrypto/">Oliver Knight</a>?
The Bulwark (@bulwarkonline) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Trump to the President of Liberia: "Such good English. Where did you learn to speak so beautifully?" English is the official language of Liberia...

Foreseeable. (@forseeable_pm) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Trump will *NOT* fire powell. The uncertainty of his Trade War? The devestating consequences of the Big Beautiful Bill? Low Growth? High inflation? It will all be on Powell for the next 10 month. polymarket.com/event/will-tru…

Hasso Mansfeld 🇪🇺 (@rasenspiesser) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Bundesregierung riskiert mit Unterstützung für den Tropical Forest Forever Fund #TFFF Glaubwürdigkeit internat. Klimafinanzierung. Statt stabile Mittel für den Regenwald zu schaffen, setzt das Modell auf hochriskante Finanzmarktwetten mit Steuergeld. 1/ 🧵tagesschau.de/ausland/amerik…