🗳️ Excited to launch Show Me The Ballot – a tool for voters to access their sample ballot in seconds and see how complex it is. Ready for Election Day? Try it out here: show-me-the-ballot.glitch.me

Launching Show Me The Ballot 🎉! Access your sample ballot instantly and get a “Complexity Score” for each ballot. Perfect for Election Day prep. Check it out: show-me-the-ballot.glitch.me

🗳️ Excited to launch Show Me The Ballot – a tool for voters to access their sample ballot in seconds and see how complex it is. Ready for Election Day? Try it out here: show-me-the-ballot.glitch.me

Crazy how the campaigns have targeted the median voter with such exacting precision that prediction markets and pollsters can't even tip their hat *one day* before the election.

Texans in CD-02, Harris County, brace yourselves for Election Day! The most complex ballot in the U.S. awaits, with 107 contests and 3,245 words (that’s 12 double-spaced pages)! Check out your ballot here and be prepared: showmetheballot.org/?q=Harris+Coun…

Voters in Miami-Dade County (FL CD-26) heading to the polls today, are you familiar with the design of your ballot? 🗳️ Check it out here to see what’s on it: miamidade.gov/elections/libr… And look up our complexity report: showmetheballot.org/?q=Miami-Dade+…

This cell, which I now include in all of my Jupyter notebooks, has made my life so much easier. 1. Display all variables 2. `tqdm.pandas()`: Track pandas jobs using `progress_apply` instead of `apply` 3. Alert me when long-running loops complete with a simple `alert()` call

Michiganders in CD-09, Oakland County, brace yourselves for Election Day! You will be asked to cast a vote in 48 contests on a ballot that requires almost 27 years of schooling according to the Flesch-Kincaid Grade Level. Check out your ballot here and be prepared:

Voters in CA’s CD-36 (LA County), Nov. 5 is here, and your ballot has 54 contests! Use our tool to view your ballot and check out initiatives you’ll be voting on. See our Ballot Complexity Report here: showmetheballot.org/?q=Los+Angeles…

Per Yvonne Wingett Sanchez @ WaPo, Maricopa County voters are facing 30-45 min delays just to complete ballots - their longest in 20 years: washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/… #ShowMeTheBallot: our ballot complexity report shows why. Their ballot is more complex than 97% of US ballots:

Here's a shoutout to Monroe County, NY for having the most voter-friendly ballot in the nation! At the federal and state levels, it has only 6 questions, clear language (Flesch-Kincaid grade level 13), and 1 ballot measure. Simpler than 99% of US ballots 👏 See the ballot

Despite wide variation in county literacy levels (180-300), ballot complexity stays stubbornly high (Flesch-Kincaid grade level 15-30) regardless of local reading abilities. The near-flat trend line (R²=0.030) among states suggests constituents' needs aren't at the forefront of

We’re going to hear lots of stories about which people, policies and rhetoric are to blame for the Democrats’ defeat. Some of those stories may even be true! But an underrated factor is that 2024 was an absolutely horrendous year for incumbents around the world 👇

Just to clarify: this isn’t just the first time since WW2 that all incumbent parties in developed countries lost vote share. It’s the first time since this data was first recorded in 1905. Essentially the first time in the history of democracy (universal suffrage began in 1894).

In the era of generative AI, we forget that the most harmful AI (and the AI that has only gotten more potent) is the collaborative filtering powering social media algorithms. When we boost narratives based on engagement rather than underlying truth, the most misleading ones win.

Call it Field of Bad Dreams: Harris tried to build it, but they just didn’t come. wsj.com/politics/elect… In every core blue bloc, voters didn’t turn out. The electorate that did shifted toward Trump—an analysis of vote data from me, Kara Dapena, Maureen Linke, and Rob Barry.

Can AI help us understand what's 'normal' in politics? We trained language models on Trump's campaign speeches and social media posts to analyze his 2nd inauguration speech. The results were fascinating. Analysis + methodology here: alignedforesight.substack.com/p/is-trump-nor…

AI-gen passages in executive orders confirmed. See for yourself: whitehouse.gov/presidential-a…

Wow. 4o.