bike centrist 🌉🚱 hat My real troll is that Singapore and the gulf states are the true realization of the Soviet economic model. The state controlling the commanding heights of the economy works better if you tolerate the existence of super rich I guess.

Periodic reminder that in 2020, 25/50 states trended in the OPPOSITE direction of how they trended in 2016. In other words, the previous election’s state trends are not predictive of the next. (Source is US Election Atlas, so the colors are reversed. Left 16-20, Right 12-16).

In 2016, 64% of white evangelicals said that they were conservative politically. 48% conservative 16% very conservative In 2020, 67% of white evangelicals said that they were conservative. 33% conservative 34% very conservative

Employment in "Agriculture" (as % of total) in European regions in 1925, 1970 and 2015. Source: Rosés-Wolf database wiwi.hu-berlin.de/de/professuren…

I’m 2020 AOC spoke for 1.5 minutes . In 2024 she spoke for 7.5 minutes. At this rate, in 2032 she will speak for 187.5 minutes

🇳🇿#NewZealand, poll: If you were eligible to vote in the American election, who would you vote for? Harris (D): 55 % Trump (R): 21 % Talbot Mills, 10/08/24

So Nobel prize economist thought Singapore was Stalinist

David Dayen I agree this is a lot more corrosive than the economists say. The theoretical efficiency gains are probably dwarfed by the corrosive effects of incentivizing everybody to lie about their preferences to save money. It’s not a coincidence that places where haggling is widespread

One of my favorite graphs, in the Times (from Peter Coy's comments on Aaron Friedberg's proposal for a coalition of market economies that limits its collective exposure to Chinese supply) nytimes.com/2024/08/26/opi… 1/2

Answer: Hmong (total: 336K). The largest communities are in Minnesota (around St. Paul), California (Fresno, Sacramento), and Wisconsin (in small cities like Wausau). Hmong first came as refugees in the 70s, and were particularly assisted by Midwest churches.

The work slack (me) is currently melting down over learning that Kamala Harris was once a statistical analyst at Hart Research.

Matt Stoller Matt Bruenig The latter I agree with completely, and ties in very nicely with what Employ America is doing. But it makes sense under standard economics - the steeper supply curves are, the more shocks will lead to inflation. Businesses systematically underinvest in excess capacity because of

Stefan Schubert It is really striking how different very young adults are from everyone else in personality data. 0.8 standard deviations is a lot!

🚨🚨 Urban Stats 17.0.0 🚨🚨 Added density histograms! Just click on the little + icon by the PW density column and you can see a histogram of how this density was computed Works in both article and comparison mode, and you can set it to a bar chart if you prefer

David Shor Elon Musk From this paper: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…

Map of the most common other languages spoken in Montréal.

Justin Grimmer Simon Bazelon george berry 🥥🥥🥥 The “Bayesian” thing here is that there are always an infinite number of possible DGPs in a small data problem, but then you end up implicitly having a prior that penalizes the more complex ones or the ones that show up fewer times in the empirical settings that are better

Here is an interesting fact. The following table shows the racial and ethnic breakdown of the entire US versus that of the seven swing states. Note that Hispanics are very underrepresented in the swing states.

🧵In the 1945 legislative elections in the Seine département, held just over a year after Paris was liberated, Communists came out well ahead (34.08%) of MRP Christian Democrats and SFIO. There was a sharp contrast between Paris and its working class industrial suburbs. ⬇️⬇️

I think it’s very underappreciated that wage inequality has been falling — a trend that I believe dates back to before the pandemic as well.