Arthur Hayes (@cryptohayev) 's Twitter Profile
Arthur Hayes

@cryptohayev

Arthur Hayes, Co-Founder of BitMEX & CIO

@Maelstromfund

ID: 1453176283

calendar_today24-05-2013 03:53:45

20 Tweet

7 Followers

280 Following

Arthur Hayes (@cryptohayes) 's Twitter Profile Photo

It ain't over, until Xi / China bends the knee. I don't think that will ever happen, but if it does, they will start by arresting the slide of the #yuan. $USDCNH is approaching 5-yr highs. Xi's major weapon is independent monetary policy which necessitates a weaker yuan.

It ain't over, until Xi / China bends the knee. I don't think that will ever happen, but if it does, they will start by arresting the slide of the #yuan. $USDCNH is approaching 5-yr highs. Xi's major weapon is independent monetary policy which necessitates a weaker yuan.
Arthur Hayes (@cryptohayes) 's Twitter Profile Photo

If not the Fed then the PBOC will give us the yachtzee ingredients. CNY deval = narrative that Chinese capital flight will flow into $BTC. It worked in 2013 , 2015, and can work in 2025. Ignore China at your own peril.

If not the Fed then the PBOC will give us the yachtzee ingredients. 

CNY deval = narrative that Chinese capital flight will flow into $BTC. 

It worked in 2013 , 2015, and can work in 2025. 

Ignore China at your own peril.
Arthur Hayes (@cryptohayes) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The Fed is on the clock, shit is breaking down. Stocks down, 10-yr yield down, good! (prev) Stocks down, 10-yr yield up, bad! (now) Mrkt finally realising that if there are less export dollar earnings, there cannot be treasury buying or stock buying. Game Over!

The Fed is on the clock, shit is breaking down.

Stocks down, 10-yr yield down, good! (prev)
Stocks down, 10-yr yield up, bad! (now)

Mrkt finally realising that if there are less export dollar earnings, there cannot be treasury buying or stock buying. Game Over!
Arthur Hayes (@cryptohayes) 's Twitter Profile Photo

And so the central wanker banker โ€œoh fuckโ€ we gotta do something elephant walk party begins shortly. Whatever they decide to do it will be some flavour of money printing. Yachtzee ๐Ÿ˜˜๐Ÿ˜˜๐Ÿ˜˜๐Ÿ˜˜๐Ÿ˜˜

And so the central wanker banker โ€œoh fuckโ€ we gotta do something elephant walk party begins shortly. 

Whatever they decide to do it will be some flavour of money printing. 

Yachtzee ๐Ÿ˜˜๐Ÿ˜˜๐Ÿ˜˜๐Ÿ˜˜๐Ÿ˜˜
Arthur Hayes (@cryptohayes) 's Twitter Profile Photo

If the BBC decides to cancel upcoming 10 and 30yr treasury auctions that is stealth money printing bc he will run down the TGA instead. This is an easy intermediate step to quell the chaos before cuck JAYPOW does his duty.

If the BBC decides to cancel upcoming 10 and 30yr treasury auctions that is stealth money printing bc he will run down the TGA instead. This is an easy intermediate step to quell the chaos before cuck JAYPOW does his duty.
Arthur Hayes (@cryptohayes) 's Twitter Profile Photo

This wasnโ€™t the policy response I expected but one nonetheless. The question now as it was last week, will China bend the knee? Letโ€™s see where the PBOC fixes the yuan on Thursday for clues.

This wasnโ€™t the policy response I expected but one nonetheless. The question now as it was last week, will China bend the knee? Letโ€™s see where the PBOC fixes the yuan on Thursday for clues.
Arthur Hayes (@cryptohayes) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Take note for next time, >140 MOVE creates an immediate stimulative policy response. We will be back here again in short order. Enjoy the party while it lasts. Next time $BTC might not follow equities into the shitter first and just keep zoominโ€™.

Take note for next time, >140 MOVE creates an immediate stimulative policy response. 

We will be back here again in short order. Enjoy the party while it lasts.

Next time $BTC might not follow equities into the shitter first and just keep zoominโ€™.
Arthur Hayes (@cryptohayes) 's Twitter Profile Photo

No deal, PBOC continues a very gradual yuan weakening. Shit โ€˜bout to get spicy. Luckily $BTC loves money printing and associated ccy weakness.

No deal, PBOC continues a very gradual yuan weakening. Shit โ€˜bout to get spicy. Luckily $BTC loves money printing and associated ccy weakness.
Arthur Hayes (@cryptohayes) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Rut roh. The BBC is going to have to do more to put 10yr yields back in the box. Better call cuck Powell and tell him itโ€™s time to step up.

Rut roh. The BBC is going to have to do more to put 10yr yields back in the box. Better call cuck Powell and tell him itโ€™s time to step up.
Arthur Hayes (@cryptohayes) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Itโ€™s on like donkey kong. We will be getting more policy response this weekend if this keeps up. We are about to enter UP ONLY mode for $BTC.

Itโ€™s on like donkey kong. We will be getting more policy response this weekend if this keeps up. We are about to enter UP ONLY mode for $BTC.
Arthur Hayes (@cryptohayes) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Like the Easter bunny, bounce bounce bounce bounce bounce! Seriously fam, this might be the last chance you have to buy $BTC < $100k ๐Ÿ˜‰๐Ÿ˜‰๐Ÿ˜‰๐Ÿ˜‰. New essay drops this week about The BBC Bazooka, treasury buy backs. Yaxhtzee

Like the Easter bunny, bounce bounce bounce bounce bounce! 

Seriously fam, this might be the last chance you have to buy $BTC &lt; $100k ๐Ÿ˜‰๐Ÿ˜‰๐Ÿ˜‰๐Ÿ˜‰. 

New essay drops this week about The BBC Bazooka, treasury buy backs. 

Yaxhtzee
Arthur Hayes (@cryptohayes) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I know Team Trump wants a weaker dollar, but a rapidly strengthening $JPY causes leveraged traders to unwind positions in US stocks and bonds. Thankfully $BTC knows that if bond yields rise, the BBC must print money. Yachtzee ๐Ÿ˜˜๐Ÿ˜˜๐Ÿ˜˜๐Ÿ˜‹๐Ÿ˜‹

I know Team Trump wants a weaker dollar, but a rapidly strengthening $JPY causes leveraged traders to unwind positions in US stocks and bonds. Thankfully $BTC knows that if bond yields rise, the BBC must print money. 

Yachtzee ๐Ÿ˜˜๐Ÿ˜˜๐Ÿ˜˜๐Ÿ˜‹๐Ÿ˜‹
Arthur Hayes (@cryptohayes) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Trump says he wants to fire JAYPOW - dollar dips, $BTC rips Trump says he has no intention of firing JAYPOW - dollar rips, $BTC rips some more Fuck yeah, this is the kind of price action we need degens.

Arthur Hayes (@cryptohayes) 's Twitter Profile Photo

US Treasury Quarterly Refunding Acc. drops 28th & 30th, what are we looking for: - Est. of next quarter's borrowing, an increase over prior est. is $ liq +ve - Target TGA balance, the lower the target the better for $ liq - Any comments on bond market due to tariffs

Arthur Hayes (@cryptohayes) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Thank you to everyone for coming to Burning Palm. Our next event will be at Bitcoin Vegas stay tuned itโ€™s going to be a heater.