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Connor's Climate Corner

@climatecornerhq

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linkhttps://linktr.ee/ConnorsClimateCorner calendar_today14-10-2024 18:01:14

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WINTER UPDATE🚨🚨 The WPO absolutely crashes on the European Weeklies - and a strongly negative WPO is a major winter signal for the U.S. A deep Aleutian ridge forces the jet to buckle, carving a broad trough into the West, Plains, and at times the East. This setup opens the

WINTER UPDATE🚨🚨

The WPO absolutely crashes on the European Weeklies - and a strongly negative WPO is a major winter signal for the U.S. 

A deep Aleutian ridge forces the jet to buckle, carving a broad trough into the West, Plains, and at times the East. This setup opens the
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HOLY SMOKES🚨❄️ Even the Euro is starting to buy into the cold and snow hype! The latest 12Z run shows a setup that’s much closer to what I think could be on the horizon. Don’t take it literally, but something like this as we head through Thanksgiving and into early December

HOLY SMOKES🚨❄️

Even the Euro is starting to buy into the cold and snow hype!

The latest 12Z run shows a setup that’s much closer to what I think could be on the horizon. 

Don’t take it literally, but something like this as we head through Thanksgiving and into early December
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NEW INFO🚨🚨 Early December is shaping up to be increasingly favorable for cold air and snowfall across much of the country, especially the Plains and the East. We’re also starting to see encouraging signals of a pattern that could deliver a truly wintry setup for the East

NEW INFO🚨🚨

Early December is shaping up to be increasingly favorable for cold air and snowfall across much of the country, especially the Plains and the East.

We’re also starting to see encouraging signals of a pattern that could deliver a truly wintry setup for the East
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PHASE 8: CONFIDENCE GROWING 🚨❄️ Momentum continues to build toward an MJO Phase 8 pattern - and that has some big implications for the weeks ahead: Increased likelihood of below-average temperatures heading into mid to late December Potential for a more active winter storm

PHASE 8: CONFIDENCE GROWING 🚨❄️

Momentum continues to build toward an MJO Phase 8 pattern - and that has some big implications for the weeks ahead:

Increased likelihood of below-average temperatures heading into mid to late December

Potential for a more active winter storm
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BREAKING 🚨🚨 A zonal-wind reversal at 10 hPa is looking more likely When those westerlies flip easterly, it signals a significant breakdown of the polar vortex, allowing arctic energy to dive south. The effects? • Increased blocking highs • Greater chance of Arctic air

BREAKING 🚨🚨

A zonal-wind reversal at 10 hPa is looking more likely

When those westerlies flip easterly, it signals a significant breakdown of the polar vortex, allowing arctic energy to dive south.

The effects?
• Increased blocking highs
• Greater chance of Arctic air
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I wanted to highlight this reply because I see so many comments just like it on weather posts. A lot of people assume that if it’s warm today, it must stay warm or that current temps somehow “disprove” what’s coming. But surface temperatures don’t work that way. Weather

I wanted to highlight this reply because I see so many comments just like it on weather posts. A lot of people assume that if it’s warm today, it must stay warm or that current temps somehow “disprove” what’s coming.

But surface temperatures don’t work that way.

Weather
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BREAKING🚨🚨 THE LATEST RUN OF THE EURO AI MODEL... Seems legit... What do you guys think?🤣🤣🤣 #weather #forecast #temperature #freeze #euroai

BREAKING🚨🚨

THE LATEST RUN OF THE EURO AI MODEL...

Seems legit... What do you guys think?🤣🤣🤣
#weather #forecast #temperature #freeze #euroai
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WINTER UPDATE🚨❄️ Low Barents-Kara sea ice + above-normal Siberian snow cover = a powerful setup. More heat flux + stronger Rossby waves leads to increased disruption risk for the stratospheric polar vortex. Could this be why models hint at a second SSW emerging and overtaking

WINTER UPDATE🚨❄️

Low Barents-Kara sea ice + above-normal Siberian snow cover = a powerful setup.

More heat flux + stronger Rossby waves leads to increased disruption risk for the stratospheric polar vortex.

Could this be why models hint at a second SSW emerging and overtaking
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INTERESTING FACT🚨🚨 According to Rutgers University’s Global Snow Lab, winter snow extent across the Northern Hemisphere has actually shown a slight upward trend since 1967 - a surprising twist in the long-term climate record. #winter #snow #history #rutgers

INTERESTING FACT🚨🚨

According to Rutgers University’s Global Snow Lab, winter snow extent across the Northern Hemisphere has actually shown a slight upward trend since 1967 - a surprising twist in the long-term climate record. 
#winter #snow #history #rutgers
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HEAVY RAINFALL likely across parts of the South-Central U.S. Flooding risk is increasing - stay weather aware!🚨🚨 #flashflooding #southernplains #southcentralUS #excessiverainfall

HEAVY RAINFALL likely across parts of the South-Central U.S. Flooding risk is increasing - stay weather aware!🚨🚨
#flashflooding #southernplains #southcentralUS #excessiverainfall
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BREAKING🚨 A tornado threat is on the table today, with supportive severe-weather parameters in place. If you're in the risk area, make sure you have multiple ways to receive alerts. #spc #tornado #wind #hail #severeweather

BREAKING🚨

A tornado threat is on the table today, with supportive severe-weather parameters in place. If you're in the risk area, make sure you have multiple ways to receive alerts.
#spc #tornado #wind #hail #severeweather
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Well for all you #SSWE people out there. Today's 00z EPS showed all members (100%) showing a 10mb U wind reversal over the north pole around 11/28 to 11/29. The implications, are enhanced blocking risk in December and the possibility that the SPV will be further receptive to

Well for all you #SSWE people out there. Today's 00z EPS showed all members (100%) showing a 10mb U wind reversal over the north pole around 11/28 to 11/29. The implications, are enhanced blocking risk in December and the possibility that the SPV will be further receptive to
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MINNEAPOLIS SNOW?🚨🚨 Both the Euro AI and GraphCast are now signaling a promising shot of snow for the Upper Midwest about six days out - including the Minneapolis area - just ahead of Thanksgiving. With AI models performing especially well at this range lately, the odds are

MINNEAPOLIS SNOW?🚨🚨

Both the Euro AI and GraphCast are now signaling a promising shot of snow for the Upper Midwest about six days out - including the Minneapolis area - just ahead of Thanksgiving. 

With AI models performing especially well at this range lately, the odds are
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WINTER STORM UPDATE🚨🚨 We’re looking at two potential scenarios for this weekend’s snowstorm. Which one do you think is most likely? #snowstorm #midwest #ohiovalley #forecast

WINTER STORM UPDATE🚨🚨

We’re looking at two potential scenarios for this weekend’s snowstorm. Which one do you think is most likely?
#snowstorm #midwest #ohiovalley #forecast
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BREAKING🚨🚨 Severe weather parameters are in place today, with the potential for damaging winds, large hail, and a few tornadoes. Storm activity is expected to intensify by early afternoon and continue through late evening into the early morning hours of Tuesday. If you are

BREAKING🚨🚨

Severe weather parameters are in place today, with the potential for damaging winds, large hail, and a few tornadoes. 

Storm activity is expected to intensify by early afternoon and continue through late evening into the early morning hours of Tuesday. 

If you are
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MINNEAPOLIS! 🌨️❄️ The Euro, HRRR, and several other reliable snow models have shifted snow south with their latest runs, increasing the potential for 3-5 inches of snow across the metro area tomorrow night into Wednesday - a nice jump from the NWS’s earlier 1–2 inch projection.

MINNEAPOLIS! 🌨️❄️

The Euro, HRRR, and several other reliable snow models have shifted snow south with their latest runs, increasing the potential for 3-5 inches of snow across the metro area tomorrow night into Wednesday - a nice jump from the NWS’s earlier 1–2 inch projection.
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BREAKING 🚨❄️ Minneapolis has continued to trend toward higher snowfall totals over the past few days. The latest National Weather Service forecast now calls for 4-6 inches, with high-end amounts reaching 5-7 inches in some areas. Temperatures are expected to stay below

BREAKING 🚨❄️

Minneapolis has continued to trend toward higher snowfall totals over the past few days. The latest National Weather Service forecast now calls for 4-6 inches, with high-end amounts reaching 5-7 inches in some areas. 

Temperatures are expected to stay below
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SEVERE THREAT ⛈️⛈️ Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected today across portions of the Southeast, bringing the potential for damaging winds, hail, and even a few tornadoes. If you’re in these risk areas, make sure you have multiple reliable ways to receive weather alerts.

SEVERE THREAT ⛈️⛈️

Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected today across portions of the Southeast, bringing the potential for damaging winds, hail, and even a few tornadoes. 

If you’re in these risk areas, make sure you have multiple reliable ways to receive weather alerts.