Now that we're closing the last day of the campaign, here are some charts and analysis on where the leaders decided to put their focus over the last month🧵

Newfoundland and Labrador Vote Intention 🟥47.4 - 25 🟦37.0 - 12 🟧12.3 - 1 ⬛3.3 - 2 Vote Intention - Projected Seats (From Forum) Forum Research October 11, 2025 n=1067 ±4.0%

Newfoundland and Labrador Poll Modelled 🟥24 (+2) 🟦12 (-1) 🟧2 (=) ⬛2 (-1) LIBERAL MAJORITY (Change from the 2021 Election) Forum Research October 11, 2025 n=1067 ±4.0%

FINAL NL Provincial Election Model Update (Oct 14/2025) 🔴LIB: 45.6% (23 seats) 🔵PC: 39.6% (13 seats) 🟠NDP: 11.0% (2 seats) 🟣OTH: 3.8% (2 seats) newfoundlandvotes.com #nlvotes #nlpoli

FINAL NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR ELECTION PROJECTION cdnprojections.ca/NL 🟥22 (-4) 🟦14 (+3) 🟧2 (+1) ⬛2 (=) LIBERAL MAJORITY (Change from October 4, 2025)

FINAL NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR ELECTION PROJECTION Vote Shares cdnprojections.ca/NL 🟥43.33 (-8.91) 🟦42.38 (+5.72) 🟧9.50 (+1.52) ⬛4.78 (+1.66) (Change from October 4, 2025)

FINAL NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR ELECTION PROJECTION Projected Realistic Seat Ranges cdnprojections.ca/NL 🟥14-26 🟦10-22 🟧1-4 ⬛1-2

FINAL NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR ELECTION PROJECTION Chances of Winning cdnprojections.ca/NL 🟥62% (-34) 🟦34% (+33) ⬛4% (+1) 🟥LIB Maj: 32% (-58) 🟥LIB Min: 30% (+24) 🟦PC Maj: 6% (+6) 🟦PC Min: 28 (+27) ⬛Tie: 4% (+1) (Change from October 4, 2025)

FINAL NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR ELECTION PROJECTION Results in Avalon cdnprojections.ca/NL 🟥12 (-3) 🟦3 (+2) 🟧2 (+1) ⬛1 (=) (Change from October 4, 2025)

FINAL NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR ELECTION PROJECTION Results in Central/Eastern Newfoundland cdnprojections.ca/NL 🟦8 (=) 🟥4 (=) (Change from October 4, 2025)

FINAL NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR ELECTION PROJECTION Results in Western Newfoundland and Labrador cdnprojections.ca/NL 🟥6 (-1) 🟦3 (+1) ⬛1 (=) (Change from October 4, 2025)

And that's a wrap on the 2025 Newfoundland and Labrador Election! I'll be doing live election calls tomorrow night when polls close. See you then!