Factors driving my projections: 2 of 5: Early vote extrapolation where available.

Factors driving my projections: 3 of 5: Trump increasing black vote from 9% nationally to 13%. This is not a major uptick considering where some polls have Trump's improvement among blacks (up to 30%).

Factors driving my projections: 4 of 5: Improved performance for Trump among Latino voters. I'm projecting 45% compared to 36% in 2020. This factor contributes substantially to New Mexico flipping to red.

Factors driving my projections: 5 of 5: Maine's mock poll of 20K students has predicted correctly the last several elections. This year, Trump won it by double-digits.

BONUS PROJECTION IOWA: HARRIS +3 ........ nah, TRUMP +12

The issues are in our favor, the candidates are in our favor, even the polls are in our favor. Let's go execute and we got this big!

I believe the big story on election night will be Trump's performance with Democrats - recall the 'Reagan Democrats' - especially among Latinos.

Senate prediction.... GOP sweeps the rust belt states and ends up with 56 or 57 seats

Finding the nugget of truth in an otherwise ludicrous national poll from Marist.... Among independents, Trump leads by 7! That's landslide territory and precludes an electorate that has more Dems than Gopers.

Correction: Trump up 5 among indies. Implications unchanged.

For those worried about Dobbs...

They waited a couple hours in both 2016 and 2020 to call South Carolina for Trump.

Looking at data coming out today regarding early vote turnout and indies preference, I'm starting to think my predictions are too blue.

I wish I had held to my 7 point Trump win in the national vote.

Top Democratic strategist Jim Messina calling early voting numbers “scary” on MSNBC “is the biggest indication we’ve seen that the early vote is a problem for” Kamala Harris, says Mark Halperin. Messina’s comments are “brutal honesty. Look at every major urban center in the swing

The rhetoric of the Democratic Party in 5 words... "Every accusation is a confession" Perfectly stated.

Here's a fact for you... after three nationwide presidential elections, Donald J. Trump owns more votes than any single candidate in the history of the United States. Over 200 million!!

Add'em up! That's over 212 million votes. No other political candidate in United States history across all offices and all careers has ever received more. Donald J Trump is the most voted for person in our nation's great history.

I'm so encouraged by the developments that are occurring since the election of DJT, but I do wonder if it will continue in 2 and 4 years from now. Is this a movement based on a man, or a true sea change based on an ideological shift?

Today's GOP, where a man can be a man.