John Carvalho (@bittconerrorlog) 's Twitter Profile
John Carvalho

@bittconerrorlog

CEO at @synonym_to

ID: 314083211

linkhttp://synonym.to calendar_today09-06-2011 17:50:59

537 Tweet

972 Followers

2,2K Following

Caleb Franzen (@calebfranzen) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Bulls, you did it. You achieved the breakout above the triple EMA band. πŸ”΅ 21-day EMA πŸ”΄ 55-day EMA 🟒 200-day EMA So long as price stays above this band, I'm no longer defensive on Bitcoin and I'm back in the bullish camp. Still not there on equities though.

Bulls, you did it.

You achieved the breakout above the triple EMA band.
πŸ”΅ 21-day EMA
πŸ”΄ 55-day EMA
🟒 200-day EMA

So long as price stays above this band, I'm no longer defensive on Bitcoin and I'm back in the bullish camp.

Still not there on equities though.
Caleb Franzen (@calebfranzen) 's Twitter Profile Photo

We won't know until we have hindsight, but... Objectively, this looks like a sell the rip opportunity. Especially with the indices retesting their 200-day MA clouds.

Dyme (@cryptoparadyme) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The U.S. national debt is now 373.2 million BTC. At current prices. Insane when you realize there will only ever be 21 million coins.

Caleb Franzen (@calebfranzen) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I literally told you what the perma bears would say about Bitcoin in November if it fell below $80k & then they did it. Tbh I didn't expect a decline below $80k. But now we've had a vociferous rise back to $99k. Those same bears are still waking up to their miserable lives.

Caleb Franzen (@calebfranzen) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Even with this price action, I have zero regrets about being defensive on Bitcoin in late-March and early-April. Why? I had quantitative rules and I followed them. I also didn't sell a single satoshi because my "bearish" criteria never triggered (though they got close). Then,

Caleb Franzen (@calebfranzen) 's Twitter Profile Photo

You see all the alpha that I share here on X. So imagine the alpha that I'm sharing on Cubic Analytics. Don't fade. Welcome to the team Achim 🧑

You see all the alpha that I share here on X.

So imagine the alpha that I'm sharing on Cubic Analytics.

Don't fade.

Welcome to the team Achim 🧑
Caleb Franzen (@calebfranzen) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Bitcoin is making new 3-month highs. It's trending beautifully above its: πŸ”΅ 21-day EMA πŸ”΄ 55-day EMA 🟒 200-day EMA All in a bullish formation, consistent with historical uptrends. So you have a choice: do you align with the uptrend or do you fight it? I know my answer.

Bitcoin is making new 3-month highs.

It's trending beautifully above its:
πŸ”΅ 21-day EMA
πŸ”΄ 55-day EMA
🟒 200-day EMA

All in a bullish formation, consistent with historical uptrends.

So you have a choice: do you align with the uptrend or do you fight it? I know my answer.
Caleb Franzen (@calebfranzen) 's Twitter Profile Photo

This took longer than I expected and had more pain than I anticipated, but an investor who bought Bitcoin based on this divergence has seen price run from $81k to $99k in less than two months. That's a +22% return. Not too bad...

Caleb Franzen (@calebfranzen) 's Twitter Profile Photo

It's 6:15am and 5 investors have already joined the premium membership for Cubic Analytics... and you're still fading? Get on the team. Now. substackfwd.xyz/?url=https://c…

Caleb Franzen (@calebfranzen) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Trump is right about inflation. But he is wrong about Powell. Like I said yesterday, a rate cut of 0.25% is insignificant whether it comes this month or next, or in July.

Caleb Franzen (@calebfranzen) 's Twitter Profile Photo

This is basically the same exact regression breakout that I shared in real-time (and in advance) in October 2024 before price ran from $65k to $109k in 2 months. PROBABLY NOTHING! x.com/CalebFranzen/s…

Caleb Franzen (@calebfranzen) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I want you to be honest with yourself. If the volatility over the past 2-4 months has been too difficult for you and if you sold any Bitcoin during this period, I think you need to revisit the conviction in your thesis. Do the work, get comfortable or reduce your exposure.

Caleb Franzen (@calebfranzen) 's Twitter Profile Photo

One of my favorite Bitcoin indicators just flashed. I recently told investors that it might flash soon. Now it's officially here... I'm going to share the chart/data tomorrow. Gn fam.