Ben Phillips (@benphillips_anu) 's Twitter Profile
Ben Phillips

@benphillips_anu

Economics, stats, social policy, tax/welfare microsimulation. Associate Professor at ANU Centre for Social Policy Research. Ex NATSEM@UC and ABS

ID: 187420196

linkhttps://csrm.cass.anu.edu.au/people/associate-professor-ben-phillips calendar_today06-09-2010 04:55:59

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Far too much of Australia’s housing debate is about not building enough. More emphasis should be on where and what we build. abc.net.au/news/2025-06-0


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Red tape has very little to do with the recent reduction in home building numbers. For that we have higher interest rates, building materials price increases, post covid hangover, weaker property market.

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Building approvals have cycled over the century between 130 and 240k pa. Current ~180k. State/local govt red tape don’t drive these changes. Federal even less likely to as not a fed issue.

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What is the trend for home building in Australia? Mostly driven by strong population growth. Not clear it's become 'too hard' to build a home - just had a massive boom a few years ago which partly led to construction price inflation.

What is the trend for home building in Australia? Mostly driven by strong population growth. Not clear it's become 'too hard' to build a home - just had a massive boom a few years ago which partly led to construction price inflation.
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Housing supply council (2012) accurately predicted population growth but massively understated how much housing we’d build. Their 663k ‘shortage’ by 2031 contradicted by ‘25 report not stating a current shortage and 79k shortage only over ‘accord’ years to ‘29.

Housing supply council (2012) accurately predicted population growth but massively understated how much housing we’d build. Their 663k ‘shortage’ by 2031 contradicted by ‘25 report not stating a current shortage and 79k shortage only over ‘accord’ years to ‘29.
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Demographia reckons Sydney’s ratio of house price to income is 13.8. Corelogic median $1.2m and median household gross income $125k (Census +15%) implies 9.6? domain.com.au/news/the-locat


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Has the NT, our second highest income 'state', found the secret sauce to housing affordability with no house price inflation in 13 years?

Has the NT, our second highest income 'state', found the secret sauce to housing affordability with no house price inflation in 13 years?
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Econ growth/productivity obv important for future living standards but don’t ignore equity. $1 to a poor person > $1 to a rich person in terms of economic welfare which is the whole point. amp.abc.net.au/article/105398


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Smith’s first test was at Lords 15 years ago picked as a bowler took 3 wickets, batted 8 scored a weird 2&12. Who’d believe he’d go on to take a further 16 wickets & 10,000+ runs over the next 15 years

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Reckon cattle (10% of Australia's emissions and a footprint 50% of Australian land) gets off lightly on the environmental front relative to gas x.com/swrighteconomy