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BackDoorCover

@backdoorprops

| NBA 24’ 99-62 | MLB 24’ 36-23 (+9.97u) @CookTheBooks12 is Contributor

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linkhttps://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1exXkoGf9YCd7vdW5ssNP_4QJ4xqjEU1Ora4qNKSqH5A/edit?usp=sharing calendar_today28-04-2020 13:26:04

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⚾️MLB Prop #1 Tyler Soderstrom (OAK) Under 0.5 Hits (-105 @ DK) Fading another left handed batter against Joe Ryan. This season lefties are batting just .209 against Ryan with a 26% strikeout rate. Last season lefties hit just .222 and the year before that they hit .202 off

⚾️MLB Prop #1

Tyler Soderstrom (OAK) Under 0.5 Hits (-105 @ DK)

Fading another left handed batter against Joe Ryan.

This season lefties are batting just .209 against Ryan with a 26% strikeout rate. Last season lefties hit just .222 and the year before that they hit .202 off
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⚾️MLB Prop #1 Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) Under 0.5 Hits (+100 @ DK) Opposing Pitcher: Luis Gil (NYY) Among 125 qualified pitchers this season, Yankees rookie phenom Luis Gil's .175 xBA is the best in Major League Baseball. Gil has a 2.04 ERA through 13 starts this year, and right

⚾️MLB Prop #1

Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) Under 0.5 Hits (+100 @ DK)

Opposing Pitcher: Luis Gil (NYY)

Among 125 qualified pitchers this season, Yankees rookie phenom Luis Gil's .175 xBA is the best in Major League Baseball.

Gil has a 2.04 ERA through 13 starts this year, and right
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⚾️MLB Prop #2 Jose Siri (TB) Under 0.5 Hits (-115 @ DK) Opposing Pitcher: Chris Sale (ATL) Jose Siri is not a great hitter, and he is even worse against left handed pitching. A career .188 hitter vs LHP with a near 39% strikeout rate: 2024 vs LHP: .174 BA, 34% K rate 2023 vs

⚾️MLB Prop #2

Jose Siri (TB) Under 0.5 Hits (-115 @ DK)

Opposing Pitcher: Chris Sale (ATL)

Jose Siri is not a great hitter, and he is even worse against left handed pitching. A career .188 hitter vs LHP with a near 39% strikeout rate:

2024 vs LHP: .174 BA, 34% K rate
2023 vs
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⚾️MLB Prop #3 Colton Cowser (BAL) Under 0.5 Hits (-105 @ ESPN) Opposing Pitcher: Ranger Suarez (PHI) Cowser is in the projected lineup and listed on all sites so I have to play him here, although I have a good feeling he might get scratched due to the tough lefty on lefty

⚾️MLB Prop #3 

Colton Cowser (BAL) Under 0.5 Hits (-105 @ ESPN)

Opposing Pitcher: Ranger Suarez (PHI)

Cowser is in the projected lineup and listed on all sites so I have to play him here, although I have a good feeling he might get scratched due to the tough lefty on lefty
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Yesterday Recap Radaela Under 0.5 Hits❌ Siri Under 0.5 Hits❌ Tough one yesterday, reads should be better. Back to regular schedule tomorrow but pretty busy today.

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⚾️MLB Play #1 Bryce Harper (PHI) Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115 @ ESPN) After a long road trip that took them from London, to Boston and then to Baltimore, Bryce and the Phillies are back home where they are 27-10 this season. Bryce is much more comfortable hitter in front of his

⚾️MLB Play #1

Bryce Harper (PHI) Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115 @ ESPN)

After a long road trip that took them from London, to Boston and then to Baltimore, Bryce and the Phillies are back home where they are 27-10 this season.

Bryce is much more comfortable hitter in front of his
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Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Total Bases✅ Perfect read as Harper goes 2-3 off Vasquez with a double, and Phillies lefties as a whole go a combined 7 for 13 off him. #GamblingX #MLB

Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Total Bases✅

Perfect read as Harper goes 2-3 off Vasquez with a double, and Phillies lefties as a whole go a combined 7 for 13 off him.

#GamblingX #MLB
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I know I sat out playoffs but this NBA season was actually really fun to bet on. I didnt track it bet for bet like I do with the MLB now, but we definitely made some good money. Excited for next season

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⚾️MLB Prop #1 Late Night Look ☕️ Joc Pederson (ARI) Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-140 @ DK) Rarely will I ever take this juice (avg odds of -110 on season), but this spot is just too good. Joc has been raking this season, slashing .288/.386/.518 with a .904 OPS, and his

⚾️MLB Prop #1

Late Night Look ☕️

Joc Pederson (ARI) Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-140 @ DK)

Rarely will I ever take this juice (avg odds of -110 on season), but this spot is just too good. Joc has been raking this season, slashing .288/.386/.518 with a .904 OPS, and his
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⚾️MLB Prop #2 Jose Siri (TBR) Over 1.5 Strikeouts (-120 @ DK) Siri is a straight up strikeout machine. Amidst 194 batters this season with 200+ plate appearances, Siri has the 2nd worst strikeout rate and worst whiff rate. Kick it back to last season, between 293 hitters

⚾️MLB Prop #2 

Jose Siri (TBR) Over 1.5 Strikeouts (-120 @ DK)

Siri is a straight up strikeout machine. Amidst 194 batters this season with 200+ plate appearances, Siri has the 2nd worst strikeout rate and worst whiff rate. 

Kick it back to last season, between 293 hitters
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⚾️MLB Prop #3 Cedric Mullins (BAL) Under 0.5 Hits (-115 @ ESPN) There is something called "having somebodies number", and then there is Cedric Mullins history vs Nestor Cortes. In 21 plate appearances vs Cortes, he is 2 for 21 (.095) with 2 singles and 9 strikeouts. Mullins

⚾️MLB Prop #3

Cedric Mullins (BAL) Under 0.5 Hits (-115 @ ESPN)

There is something called "having somebodies number", and then there is Cedric Mullins history vs Nestor Cortes. In 21 plate appearances vs Cortes, he is 2 for 21 (.095) with 2 singles and 9 strikeouts.

Mullins
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⚾️6/18 MLB Card Joc Pederson Over 1.5 HRR Jose Siri Over 1.5 Strikeouts Cedric Mullins Under 0.5 Hits Solid variety of some pretty nice spots today. Let’s sweep🫡 #GamblingX #MLB

⚾️6/18 MLB Card

Joc Pederson Over 1.5 HRR
Jose Siri Over 1.5 Strikeouts 
Cedric Mullins Under 0.5 Hits

Solid variety of some pretty nice spots today. Let’s sweep🫡

#GamblingX #MLB
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#MLB Recap Joc Pederson Over 1.5 HRR✅ Jose Siri Over 1.5 Strikeouts❌ Tried to get cute with strikeouts instead of just going with Siri under hits. Lesson learned. #GamblingX

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⚾️MLB Prop #1 Yasmani Grandal (PIT) Under 0.5 Hits (+110 ESPN) Fade.Lefties.Vs.Hunter.Greene. Probably my most consistent fade and for good reason. Lefties are hitting .174 against Greene this season with a 29% K rate, and this is nothing new: 2023 vs LHB's: .215 BA, 34% K

⚾️MLB Prop #1 

Yasmani Grandal (PIT) Under 0.5 Hits (+110 ESPN)

Fade.Lefties.Vs.Hunter.Greene. Probably my most consistent fade and for good reason. Lefties are hitting .174 against Greene this season with a 29% K rate, and this is nothing new:

2023 vs LHB's: .215 BA, 34% K