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non-Reese'sponse

I know the medium fosters oversimplification, but feels useful to remember: -In close races, multiple groups of voters/issues are all "key" -Messages can have multiple, simultaneous effects -Hard to make absolute statements about what motivates a single voter, let alone a bloc

(political commentator watching the hora at a bar mitzvah) and we're looking at a one-seat pickup

I would have said “its a toss up for the Bar Mitzvah boy/Bat Mitzvah girl” but to each their own.

this guy should be asked for comment about every news story regardless of topic npr.org/2024/10/10/nx-…

Latest from the Breakthrough project, tracking what news Americans actually say they're hearing, reading and seeing about the candidates: cnn.com/2024/10/13/pol…

not saying I am off to anything less than a fully alert start this morning but I did somehow misread the name "stephen" and briefly wondered if a "step hen" was your spouse's pet chicken

I'm really glad to be working on this project, because I see so much speculation about what election news is actually getting through to the public...and we get a chance to just ask them each week!

there's some sort of bad Generic Haunted House Ballot joke here

Ariel Edwards-Levy Would you describe your opinion of Halloween candy as flavorable or unflavorable?

the first ballots in the 2024 presidential election have now been cast as james bond

still on bluesky with the same username, fyi

When a research team from CNN, Georgetown and UMich asked Americans what they've read/seen/heard about Trump earlier this month, "lies" was the most common answer. cnn.com/2024/10/19/pol…

re: bsky, can confirm this is true (or, at least, they're more frequent, which may or may not be the same thing)

Wrote something about what "the polls" can actually tell us about this election: cnn.com/2024/11/01/pol…

anyway, if you want to see a ridiculously niche joke assigning different survey sample frames to different holidays come follow me on bluesky

Our final pre-election Breakthrough, on what Americans actually say they heard, read and saw about each of the candidates heading into the campaign's close: cnn.com/2024/11/03/pol…

What did the U.S. public hear about Trump and Harris during the campaign, from Ariel Edwards-Levy based on the weekly CNN/SSRS/Verasight election surveys: cnn.com/2024/11/10/pol…

(The one addendum I'd put on this is that the degree to which framing matters varies considerably by issue, and the mere presence of that volatility -- and how it manifests -- can itself say a lot about strength of opinion and how people are approaching the issue.)