Back in Seattle!
Lovely time of year.

View of spheres 🌐
Amazon’s Emmy awards 🎬💪
Push button volunteerism? 👍

And a throwback to group dinner at Pike Brewery with Karyn Bryant for UFC on FOX… Rory topped BJ, Gus > Rua, and Bendo defended the belt vs Diaz.
Memorable times!

Search for “family movies” on IMDB at your own risk…. 😳

If we do it at Burning Man, it could happen. And it could also be a screenplay… 🤔🫠

Live betting line on these HWs is nuts. Waldo-Cortez and Despaigne will take turns looking like they’re about to finish each other as long as this goes.

Despaigne spent most of the round almost getting submitted, but since he survived the round he’s back to being a favorite.

Paging Popeye's chicken...please report to the fighter training room stat. This is a double Ranch sauce alert.

A trip to NYC and a quick stop at Rockefeller Plaza, east coast entertainment Mecca.

Hope Kelly Clarkson had a great show today, thanks for letting us share the elevator…

I’m killing time dining in NYC and reading the news. This headline almost made me spit wine….

Isn’t he literally the spokesman for reverse mortgages? And he’s “done the research?”

A coffee and book exchange with Dann Stupp of MMAJunkie and Action Network fame.

(and we might have exchanged some UFC 301 betting tips)

The Brazilian Homecage advantage, in three graphs.

1. Brazilians, on average, are betting favorites at home.

2. But for a long time they beat even high market expectations by winning more often than odds implied...

3. ...however, that changed in 2019.
espn.com/mma/insider/st…

Brazilians are expensive to bet in their home cage, but do they deliver?

I went down the rabbit hole to answer some, but not all, basic questions about the Home Cage.

Plus, the biggest wrestling and knockout threats at #UFC301
espn.com/mma/insider/st…

Not many veteran pairings at #UFC301 , these are the only two where both fighters have >100 minutes of Octagon time, or both have >20 rounds in the UFC.

Oddly, Aldo and Silva are among the only 3 Brazilians who are underdogs. Stats are very close.

Another view of betting odds at #UFC301 in Rio.

This time indicating the Brazilian fighters in green... 13 of which are matched up against foreign opponents. It's a chalky night for the home team!

Have odds been historically accurate for the Brazilian homecage?

No, and yes...

To be fair, KFC is a pretty damn awesome in Australia... Americans wouldn't even recognize the menu down under. I'd like a Zinger and the popcorn chicken, mate.

I looked into recent history, but I'm curious if MMA fans and bettors generally think there is a homecage advantage for Brazilians, and if so, if you think betting odds account for it.

This week at #UFC301 , the average betting line for Brazilian fighters is -192.

It's fight week in Brazil for #UFC301

Pretty chalky card for a UFC event. Five fighters are steeper than -400... all of them are Brazilians facing a non-Brazilian opponent.

Hello, again, beautiful Seattle.
I like being able to see water and snow topped mountains in the same place.

This fight so far is a battle between Bobby Green‘s speed and Bobby Green‘s own stupidity and showmanship.
#UFC300

Let's goooo! #UFC300

Who are the best wrestlers (outside of newcomers Bo & Kayla)?

Who has the best Knockdown Rate?

In which fights could leg kicks play a big role?

How do we know this card will be pretty awesome from top to bottom?

4 questions
4 graphs
#PourTheWine

It’s rare to have an event these days so deep with experience that that you can see performance metrics with meaningful sample size across the vast majority of the card.

I’m still seeing two-sided picks on most of the matchups. Going to be a great night of fights!
#UFC300

Brilliant.
With 48 hours left in tax season come Saturday night, TurboTax has identified a large group of viewers who might still need to do their taxes.