In conclusion, despite believing they could do it, the 152 astrologers seemed to lack any ability to match people to their astrological charts. You can learn a lot more about the study (including its limitations and how we sought to address them) here: clearerthinking.org/post/can-astro…

If you believe you have astrological skill, you can try the same questions that we used in the study (and find out the right answers at the end) in order to test yourself: programs.clearerthinking.org/astrology_chal… We also open-sourced the data from the study if you want to analyze it.

Who do you think scores highest on the product of [probability they'll disagree with you about something important] and [amount of respect you have for their judgement/reasoning]?

Fully automated customs is the biggest blessing I’ve ever experienced

I swear the Turing test melted everyone’s brains. Just because in theory it proposed to distinguish sentient intelligences from bots solely via their output in a text box, doesn’t mean that’s the only way to compare agents. You’re allowed to look at the agent.

You have minimal investments in AI because you have high integrity. I have minimal investments in AI because I’m financially incompetent. We are not the same.

the openai IMO news hit me pretty heavy this weekend i'm still in the acute phase of the impact, i think i consider myself a professional mathematician (a characterization some actual professional mathematicians might take issue with, but my party my rules) and i don't think i

New paper & surprising result. LLMs transmit traits to other models via hidden signals in data. Datasets consisting only of 3-digit numbers can transmit a love for owls, or evil tendencies. 🧵

:)

As an extrovert, the suburbs were bad for me. I packed up my husband and dogs and moved to the city, and it's been the best decision of my 30s.

In a private email from 2018, OpenAI co-founder Greg Brockman told Elon Musk that OpenAI must do 4 things to retain "the moral high ground." Let's look at each one, and why OpenAI has failed all of them.

I'm desperate for a worldview where we agree both are true: - current AI is slop and the marketing is BS, but - staggering AI transformation (including extinction) is 5-20 years out, this may not be good by default, and thus merits major policy action now