When I criticized Limitless, it was out of frustration, they confidently sold mediocrity as innovation. But what really surprised me was hearing from someone else, another early user of limitless, clearly a fellow prediction market native, who laid out concrete evidence that

every chain needs an app

vibe scrolling → vibe trading

Few known fact: market making in prediction markets is actually highly profitable, and this profitability is structural

Want a prediction market on this topic: Will prediction market users surpass CEX users? End date: 2030 I’d definitely bet on Yes.

Chasing mindshare has become the latest vanity metric in crypto, no different from the EigenLayer-induced TVL bubble. It’s ultimately toxic for the industry.

Infofi is making regular people talk more like agents, while AI agents are starting to feel more human.

👀👀

Building isn’t rocket science, just know what users need, read the scene, check the data. Funny thing (and kinda sad): hardly anyone here can actually do it.

true mass adoption

CT is discussing prediction markets on HIP3. I’d love to see and try it if someone builds it, but to be honest I’m not optimistic. Perps are a form of leveraged trading, and not every asset is suitable for leverage. Whether leverage works depends heavily on the underlying asset’s

I’m really enjoying designing a prediction market lately and discussing it on Twitter, it feels like I’m back in the atmosphere of my early Web2 days. Prediction market enthusiasts like defiance are genuinely using the product, talking about it, and applying common sense.

My man

smart strategy

re-generated avatar is pretty cool

Three years ago, I was driven more by passion and rarely thought about what the future would actually look like. I did predict some of it, but I didn’t execute on it properly. Now I spend much more time thinking about the future.