what do people do during halftime while trading sports 🤔

some surprises this month from looking at volume numbers: expected less NBA, more NFL, but I guess there are just so many more NBA games (NFL median: 9.1M vs NBA 5.4M). still unclear what the breakdown is pregame/live. all units are in # of contracts available to public soon.

pleasantly surpised that we started off this week as #1 on the leaderboard

now we have a cool kalshi badge

so much ai slop on polymarket bot "strategies" come on we can do better

Interesting product to consider: future settled to a value upon expiry. For example, instead of trading the NFL individual total binaries, use min(score, 100) to allow shorting. Users can trade the value directly w/o dealing w/ a bazillion contracts

just sent a second wave of invites! excited to be supporting a lot of trading efforts. right now we're still prioritizing higher volume traders and we'll be able widen access after some scalability software changes.

The year of prediction markets Thank you for a historic 2025

Happy New Years everyone! Thank you to all our users who've helped our team learn about reliability / scale this month. We're excited to continue shipping features to you! To learn more about what we do, check us out at valence.trade Finally, our trading unit traded

Valence congrats!!

Absolutely insane comeback from Ole Miss Football.

One of the first strategies we tried was a mention market resolver using OAI Whisper, and connected to Youtube streams. Around ~3-5s advantage over watching YT (buffer trick to skip waiting for the buffer). It was too slow but was a great way to dive into PMs and think about

We’re hiring a UI Designer (US-based, remote/in-person)! If you have strong taste and can ship great product UIs, please reach out to us with your portfolio and a brief introduction. DM or email: [email protected]