Ragnar Gudmundsson ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@ragnarbjartur) 's Twitter Profile
Ragnar Gudmundsson ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ

@ragnarbjartur

Political scientist & economist obsessed with data and on a mission to turn it into actionable information. I use X, Mastodon & Bluesky for the war in ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ.

ID: 1482945426

linkhttp://vefgreining.com/ukraine calendar_today04-06-2013 18:43:00

11,11K Tweet

20,20K Followers

2,2K Following

Ragnar Gudmundsson ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@ragnarbjartur) 's Twitter Profile Photo

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” OCT 21, 2025 โ–  Engagements & casualties well above average โ–  Most single-day armored losses since early June, unarmored also above average โ–  Overnight attacks: triple-digit, including 6 missiles; interception rate could be better โ–  Only two ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” OCT 21, 2025

โ–  Engagements & casualties well above average
โ–  Most single-day armored losses since early June, unarmored also above average
โ–  Overnight attacks: triple-digit, including 6 missiles; interception rate could be better
โ–  Only two ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
Ragnar Gudmundsson ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@ragnarbjartur) 's Twitter Profile Photo

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” OCT 22, 2025 โ–  Engagements and casualties remain above average โ–  Fewer equipment losses, but APV losses stay above average โ–  Overnight attacks: not reported at the time of writing โ–  Single-digit ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ strikes, while ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ ones remain below average as

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” OCT 22, 2025

โ–  Engagements and casualties remain above average
โ–  Fewer equipment losses, but APV losses stay above average
โ–  Overnight attacks: not reported at the time of writing
โ–  Single-digit ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ strikes, while ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ ones remain below average as
Ragnar Gudmundsson ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@ragnarbjartur) 's Twitter Profile Photo

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” OCT 23, 2025 โ–  Engagements and casualties below the 7-day average โ–  Record drone losses (previous record was set on Sep 29) โ–  Visually confirmed batch: 264 ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ : 197 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (1.3x) - first in three weeks โ–  Overnight attacks: triple-digit, all drones;

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” OCT 23, 2025

โ–  Engagements and casualties below the 7-day average
โ–  Record drone losses (previous record was set on Sep 29)
โ–  Visually confirmed batch: 264 ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ : 197 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (1.3x) - first in three weeks
โ–  Overnight attacks: triple-digit, all drones;
Ragnar Gudmundsson ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@ragnarbjartur) 's Twitter Profile Photo

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” OCT 24, 2025 โ–  Engagements and casualties below the 7-day average โ–  Equipment losses above average, however โ–  Overnight attacks: triple-digit, all drones; interception rate could be better โ–  Single-digit ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ strikes, ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ strikes above average ๐Ÿ“ˆ

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” OCT 24, 2025

โ–  Engagements and casualties below the 7-day average
โ–  Equipment losses above average, however
โ–  Overnight attacks: triple-digit, all drones; interception rate could be better
โ–  Single-digit ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ strikes, ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ strikes above average

๐Ÿ“ˆ
Ragnar Gudmundsson ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@ragnarbjartur) 's Twitter Profile Photo

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” OCT 25, 2025 โ–  Engagements and casualties remain below the 7-day average โ–  Equipment losses also below average, including 4 tanks โ–  Overnight attacks: double-digit, including 9 missiles; improved interception โ–  Single-digit ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ strikes, ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ strikes

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” OCT 25, 2025

โ–  Engagements and casualties remain below the 7-day average
โ–  Equipment losses also below average, including 4 tanks
โ–  Overnight attacks: double-digit, including 9 missiles; improved interception
โ–  Single-digit ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ strikes, ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ strikes
Ragnar Gudmundsson ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@ragnarbjartur) 's Twitter Profile Photo

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” OCT 26, 2025 โ–  Engagements well above average, but casualties remain below it โ–  Fewer drone and unarmored losses, but armored losses well above average โ–  Visually confirmed batch (yesterday): 45 ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ : 23 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (2.0x) โ€” 1.3x over the last 30 days โ†‘ โ– 

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” OCT 26, 2025

โ–  Engagements well above average, but casualties remain below it
โ–  Fewer drone and unarmored losses, but armored losses well above average
โ–  Visually confirmed batch (yesterday): 45 ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ : 23 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (2.0x) โ€” 1.3x over the last 30 days โ†‘
โ– 
Ragnar Gudmundsson ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@ragnarbjartur) 's Twitter Profile Photo

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” OCT 27, 2025 โ–  Engagements & casualties below the 7-day average โ–  Losses of drones, unarmored vehicles, and artillery were well above average โ–  Overnight attacks: triple-digit, all drones; interception rate below average โ–  Double-digit ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” OCT 27, 2025

โ–  Engagements & casualties below the 7-day average
โ–  Losses of drones, unarmored vehicles, and artillery were well above average
โ–  Overnight attacks: triple-digit, all drones; interception rate below average
โ–  Double-digit ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
Ragnar Gudmundsson ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@ragnarbjartur) 's Twitter Profile Photo

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” OCT 28, 2025 โ–  5th highest number of engagements; casualties well above average as well โ–  Considerable land-based equipment losses, both armored and unarmored โ–  Overnight attacks: unusually few, all drones; interception rate below average โ– 

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” OCT 28, 2025

โ–  5th highest number of engagements; casualties well above average as well
โ–  Considerable land-based equipment losses, both armored and unarmored
โ–  Overnight attacks: unusually few, all drones; interception rate below average
โ– 
Ragnar Gudmundsson ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@ragnarbjartur) 's Twitter Profile Photo

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” OCT 29, 2025 โ–  Casualties well above the 7-day average despite fewer engagements โ–  Increase in drone losses but land-based equipment losses down from previous day โ–  Officer death batch: +40 (5.3 per day since start) โ–  Visually confirmed batch: 49

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” OCT 29, 2025

โ–  Casualties well above the 7-day average despite fewer engagements
โ–  Increase in drone losses but land-based equipment losses down from previous day
โ–  Officer death batch: +40 (5.3 per day since start)
โ–  Visually confirmed batch: 49
Ragnar Gudmundsson ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@ragnarbjartur) 's Twitter Profile Photo

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” OCT 31, 2025 โ–  Fewer engagements, but casualties slightly above the 7-day average โ–  Record-high equipment losses due to record-high drone losses (previous drone record reported on Oct 23) โ–  Overview of overnight attacks has not been released at

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” OCT 31, 2025

โ–  Fewer engagements, but casualties slightly above the 7-day average
โ–  Record-high equipment losses due to record-high drone losses (previous drone record reported on Oct 23)
โ–  Overview of overnight attacks has not been released at
Ragnar Gudmundsson ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@ragnarbjartur) 's Twitter Profile Photo

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” NOV 1, 2025 โ–  Engagements, casualties and equipment losses below the 7-day average โ–  Overnight attacks: well over 200 drones, but good interception rate โ–  Visually confirmed batch: 54 ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ : 18 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (53:18 after cleanup) - 1.3x in the last 30 days โ– 

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” NOV 1, 2025

โ–  Engagements, casualties and equipment losses below the 7-day average
โ–  Overnight attacks: well over 200 drones, but good interception rate
โ–  Visually confirmed batch: 54 ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ : 18 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (53:18 after cleanup) - 1.3x in the last 30 days
โ– 
Ragnar Gudmundsson ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@ragnarbjartur) 's Twitter Profile Photo

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” OCTOBER โ–  173 daily engagements (-4% compared to September) โ–  31k casualties: a daily average of 1,009 (+7%) โ–  4.0k land-based equipment losses: a daily average of 129 (-9%); lowest month of 2025 so far โ–  11.1k drone losses: a daily average of

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” OCTOBER

โ–  173 daily engagements (-4% compared to September)
โ–  31k casualties: a daily average of 1,009 (+7%)
โ–  4.0k land-based equipment losses: a daily average of 129 (-9%); lowest month of 2025 so far
โ–  11.1k drone losses: a daily average of
Ragnar Gudmundsson ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@ragnarbjartur) 's Twitter Profile Photo

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” NOV 2, 2025 โ–  Engagements and casualties remain below the 7-day average โ–  Losses of unarmored vehicles and artillery are above average โ–  Overnight attacks: double-digit, including 2 missiles (Iskander-M); decent interception rate โ–  Single-digit

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” NOV 2, 2025

โ–  Engagements and casualties remain below the 7-day average
โ–  Losses of unarmored vehicles and artillery are above average
โ–  Overnight attacks: double-digit, including 2 missiles (Iskander-M); decent interception rate
โ–  Single-digit
Ragnar Gudmundsson ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@ragnarbjartur) 's Twitter Profile Photo

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” NOV 3, 2025 โ–  Engagements on par with the 7-day average, but casualties well above it โ–  Notable land-based equipment losses, drone losses also above average โ–  Overnight attacks: triple-digit, including 12 missiles; interception rate could be

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” NOV 3, 2025

โ–  Engagements on par with the 7-day average, but casualties well above it
โ–  Notable land-based equipment losses, drone losses also above average
โ–  Overnight attacks: triple-digit, including 12 missiles; interception rate could be
Ragnar Gudmundsson ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@ragnarbjartur) 's Twitter Profile Photo

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” NOV 4, 2025 โ–  Engagements remain above the 7-day average, but casualties have slid below it โ–  Drone losses above average; notable artillery and tank losses โ–  Visually confirmed batch: 14 ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ : 62 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (62:6 after cleanup) โ€” 1.1ร— in the last 30 days

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” NOV 4, 2025

โ–  Engagements remain above the 7-day average, but casualties have slid below it
โ–  Drone losses above average; notable artillery and tank losses
โ–  Visually confirmed batch: 14 ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ : 62 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (62:6 after cleanup) โ€” 1.1ร— in the last 30 days
Ragnar Gudmundsson ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@ragnarbjartur) 's Twitter Profile Photo

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” NOV 5, 2025 โ–  Engagements and casualties below the 7-day average โ–  Drone and land-based equipment losses also below average โ–  Officer death batch: +33 (5.3 per day since start) โ–  Overnight attacks: double-digit, all drones; interception rate

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” NOV 5, 2025

โ–  Engagements and casualties below the 7-day average
โ–  Drone and land-based equipment losses also below average
โ–  Officer death batch: +33 (5.3 per day since start)
โ–  Overnight attacks: double-digit, all drones; interception rate
Ragnar Gudmundsson ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@ragnarbjartur) 's Twitter Profile Photo

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” NOV 6, 2025 โ–  Most engagements this year so far, most casualties since early October โ–  Equipment losses remain below their 7-day average โ–  Overnight attacks: triple-digit, all drones; decent interception rate โ–  Three ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ strikes, ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ air strikes

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” NOV 6, 2025

โ–  Most engagements this year so far, most casualties since early October
โ–  Equipment losses remain below their 7-day average
โ–  Overnight attacks: triple-digit, all drones; decent interception rate
โ–  Three ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ strikes, ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ air strikes
Ragnar Gudmundsson ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@ragnarbjartur) 's Twitter Profile Photo

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” NOV 7, 2025 โ–  Big casualties two days in a row, engagements slightly below the 7-day average โ–  Drone losses up but still below average; other equipment losses also below it โ–  Overnight attacks: triple-digit, all drones; interception rate below

โšก๏ธ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA โ€” NOV 7, 2025

โ–  Big casualties two days in a row, engagements slightly below the 7-day average
โ–  Drone losses up but still below average; other equipment losses also below it
โ–  Overnight attacks: triple-digit, all drones; interception rate below