overeducatedgambler (@oegambler) 's Twitter Profile
overeducatedgambler

@oegambler

An academic who sometimes bets on sports. Picks posted are my own and listed for entertainment purposes only. Hook’em, Sic’em, Bear Down, Wahoowa!

ID: 1845108101856272398

linkhttps://overeducatedgambler.substack.com calendar_today12-10-2024 14:24:04

699 Tweet

64 Followers

196 Following

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1. Miami (OH) (nc) 2. Duke (+1) 3. Michigan (-1) 4. Arizona (nc) 5. Nebraska (nc) 6. Houston (+1) 7. Virginia (-1) 8. Vanderbilt (+1) 9. Illinois (-1) 10. UConn (+1) 11. Michigan St (+2) 12. Alabama (+3) 13. Texas Tech (+3) 14. Arkansas (nc) 15. BYU (-3)

1. Miami (OH) (nc)
2. Duke (+1)
3. Michigan (-1)
4. Arizona (nc)
5. Nebraska (nc)
6. Houston (+1)
7. Virginia (-1)
8. Vanderbilt (+1)
9. Illinois (-1)
10. UConn (+1)
11. Michigan St (+2)
12. Alabama (+3)
13. Texas Tech (+3)
14. Arkansas (nc)
15. BYU (-3)
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Posting these on the go this week: Format: Wager (% of bankroll) Man United +155 (5%) Tottenham +135 (5%) Draw Chelsea v Aston Villa (5%)

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1. Miami (OH) (nc) 2. Michigan (+1) 3. Duke (-1) 4. Arizona (nc) 5. Nebraska (nc) 6. Virginia (+1) 7. Houston (-1) 8. Vanderbilt (nc) 9. Illinois (nc) 10. Michigan State (+1) 11. Arkansas (+3) 12. Louisville ( +7) 13. Alabama (-1) 14. North Carlina (+2) 15. Purdue (+2)

1. Miami (OH) (nc)
2. Michigan (+1)
3. Duke (-1)
4. Arizona (nc)
5. Nebraska (nc)
6. Virginia (+1)
7. Houston (-1)
8. Vanderbilt (nc)
9. Illinois (nc)
10. Michigan State (+1)
11. Arkansas (+3)
12. Louisville ( +7)
13. Alabama (-1)
14. North Carlina (+2)
15. Purdue (+2)
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If you were going to fairly seed the NCAA Tournament, here's what it would look like (making some assumptions about who wins the remaining Conference tournaments).

If you were going to fairly seed the NCAA Tournament, here's what it would look like (making some  assumptions about who wins the remaining Conference tournaments).
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Format: Wager (% of bankroll) Sunderland +235 (5%) Draw Liverpool v Tottenham +475 (5%) Fulham +230 (5%) Draw Bournemouth v Burnley +295 (5%) Draw Manchester City v West Ham (2.6%) Professor’s Parlay Experiment (2 legs): Brentford and Crystal Palace both win +265 (5%)

Format: Wager (% of bankroll)

Sunderland +235 (5%)
Draw Liverpool v Tottenham +475 (5%)
Fulham +230 (5%)
Draw Bournemouth v Burnley +295 (5%)
Draw Manchester City v West Ham (2.6%)

Professor’s Parlay Experiment (2 legs):
Brentford and Crystal Palace both win +265 (5%)
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❌Sunderland +235 (5%) Draw Liverpool v Tottenham +475 (5%) Fulham +230 (5%) ✅Draw Bournemouth v Burnley +295 (5%) Draw Manchester City v West Ham (2.6%) Professor’s Parlay Experiment (2 legs): Brentford and Crystal Palace both win +265 (5%)

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❌Sunderland +235 (5%) Draw Liverpool v Tottenham +475 (5%) Fulham +230 (5%) ✅Draw Bournemouth v Burnley +295 (5%) ✅Draw Manchester City v West Ham (2.6%) Professor’s Parlay Experiment (2 legs): Brentford and Crystal Palace both win +265 (5%)

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❌Sunderland +235 (5%) ✅Draw Liverpool v Tottenham +475 (5%) ❌Fulham +230 (5%) ✅Draw Bournemouth v Burnley +295 (5%) ✅Draw Manchester City v West Ham (2.6%) Professor’s Parlay Experiment (2 legs): ❌Brentford and Crystal Palace both win +265 (5%)

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Miami OH's hold on number one was soft - so soft that that one loss drops them from 1 to 45 in my ranking. The math is a cruel mistress.

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Format: Wager (% of bankroll) Leeds +145 (5%) Tottenham +145 (3.9%) Draw Liverpool Brighton +260 (5%) Professor’s Parlay Experiment (2 Legs): Newcastle and Aston Villa both win +221 (5%)

Format: Wager (% of bankroll)

Leeds +145 (5%)
Tottenham +145 (3.9%)
Draw Liverpool Brighton +260 (5%)

Professor’s Parlay Experiment (2 Legs):
Newcastle and Aston Villa both win +221 (5%)
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Format: Wager (% of bankroll) Draw Liverpool Fulham +340 (1.8%) West Ham -120 (0.9%) Brentford +115 (1.8%) Sunderland +160 (5%) Draw Newcastle v Crystal Palace +250 (4.4%) Draw Manchester City v Chelsea +285 (5%) Professor's Parlay Experiment: Arsenal and Manchester United Win

Format: Wager (% of bankroll)

Draw Liverpool Fulham +340 (1.8%)
West Ham -120 (0.9%)
Brentford +115 (1.8%)
Sunderland +160 (5%)
Draw Newcastle v Crystal Palace +250 (4.4%)
Draw Manchester City v Chelsea +285 (5%)

Professor's Parlay Experiment:
Arsenal and Manchester United Win
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Draw Liverpool Fulham +340 (1.8%) ✅West Ham -120 (0.9%) Brentford +115 (1.8%) Sunderland +160 (5%) Draw Newcastle v Crystal Palace +250 (4.4%) Draw Manchester City v Chelsea +285 (5%) Professor's Parlay Experiment: Arsenal and Manchester United Win +127 (5%)

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1) this is meaningless 2) if you’re getting a 4 digit return, you’re overpaying and giving the feds an interest free loan. Fix your withholdings.