
Michael Clemens
@m_clem
Professor of Economics at @GeorgeMasonU and Fellow at @PIIE. Also @IZA_bonn, @CReAM_Research, & @CGDev. Associate Editor JEP. Personal views only.
ID: 102278432
http://mclem.org 06-01-2010 05:05:53
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Dependency and depopulation? Confronting the consequences of a new demographic reality. Our new McKinsey Global Institute report is out! It explores the economic consequences of falling fertility rates. Thread with main conclusions 🧵 (link to the full report at the end)

“The number of employed workers in America would be rapidly shrinking today without immigration,” says Michael Clemens. “All of our jobs depend on the growing economy, & the growing economy can only exist due to immigration.” politico.com/news/2025/01/2…

Who Loses from Immigration Restrictions? - marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolu… There are being other studies on how restrictions to protect American workers backfired, see for example, Michael Clemens study on ending Bracero program: aeaweb.org/articles?id=10…

“Americans can expect fewer job opportunities, higher prices for a range of goods,” from mass deportations, Michael Clemens says. “They can expect less new home construction...higher rates of institutionalization for the elderly, &...no change in the crime rate.”scrippsnews.com/politics/immig…



“USAID built a vast array of programs to help families foresee & adjust to climate shocks without migrating,” says Michael Clemens. Ending those programs “leaves migration as the only viable way for many families in the Western Hemisphere region to cope.” nytimes.com/2025/02/08/cli…



“...mass deportations will be generally disruptive to the economy & US labor market—& specifically hospitality will be hard hit,” Michael Clemens says. “Their labor is a crucial factor of production," & that production generates other jobs in the sector. latimes.com/business/story…

The largest channel for overseas talent remaining in the US, Optional Practical Training (OPT), is under threat. Michael Clemens finds slashing OPT would cause permanent losses to US innovation, productivity, economic growth, & job opportunities native workers.piie.com/blogs/realtime…

The largest channel for overseas talent remaining in the US, Optional Practical Training (OPT), is under threat. Michael Clemens finds slashing OPT would cause permanent losses to US innovation, productivity, economic growth, & job opportunities native workers.piie.com/blogs/realtime…

A new book by Peter Boettke and Candela is something to celebrate. This one brings together some of their crucial insights—which have inspired me—on the symbiosis between institutionalized liberty and productive specialization. Taproot of wealth. amazon.com/HISTORICAL-PAT…

Countries long associated with emigration are now rich enough to have passed their migratory peak. Meanwhile 94% of sub-Saharan Africans live in countries with GDP/person of less than $10,000. African migration is “an unstoppable force," Michael Clemens says.economist.com/briefing/2025/…