The Conservative party is moving even further to the right. For the Guardian, we recently wrote about what the Tories could learn from the Netherlands and why such a strategy will only further strengthen the far right (within or outside the Tories)
theguardian.com/commentisfree/…

Britain has a radical right government. There is now no doubt about that. theguardian.com/uk-news/2024/a…

Ich habe mit Inka Zimmermann (@mdrde) über die anstehenden Landtagswahlen in Sachsen gesprochen.

Im Zentrum steht die Frage nach der Effektivität möglicher Strategien angesichts hoher Umfragewerte für Rechtsaußenparteien.

tinyurl.com/ywevmmvp

We are off — How can mainstream parties best fight populism? Drawing lessons for Germany by pooling expertise ⁦CEPR⁩ ⁦Kiel Institute (IfW Kiel)⁩ in Berlin. After introductory remarks we start with a panel with ⁦Sebastian Pittelkow⁩ Justus von Daniels and Franziska Klemenz.

One week left to apply for a postdoc position in my DFG-funded project on the power of public opinion polls (Universität Potsdam)!

Do not hesitate to write me a message/email in case of questions.

Very much looking forward to this workshop as it will bring together so many different perspectives on the rise of the far right!

I will present some of my research on whether accommodating the far right is a losing strategy for both center-right *and* center-left parties.

🥁 Jahrestagung des AK Wahlen und politische Einstellungen der DVPW 🦣 @[email protected] 2024 Universität Siegen 🥁

👉 Das Programm steht, die Anmeldung ist bis zum 23.05.2024 möglich: dvpw.de/fileadmin/user…

Wir freuen uns, euch in der 'Krönchenstadt' 👑 begrüßen zu dürfen!

cc: Martin Elff @melff.bsky.social Nils Steiner

Super proud of this article, on which our ORA team has worked tirelessly under the leadership of Eelco Harteveld and Kai Arzheimer 🇪🇺. We look at context effects on PRR support using geocoded survey data from DE, FR, GB, and NL.

Please share: Last call for my online workshop on Advanced Bayesian Modeling GESIS Training ⬇️

Some new descriptive work on what *citizens* think we should do about the far-right.

doi.org/10.1177/135406…

Die Berliner Morgenpost berichtet über Kontakte und Berührungspunkte zwischen Mitarbeitern der Brandenburger AfD-Landtagsfraktion und rechtsextremen Organisationen.

Mit einer Einschätzung von mir zu den Gefahren dieser Verbindungen.

Thrilled to see our work w/ Elias Dinas & Sergi Martínez Journal of Politics @[email protected].

Using data from flags hanging from balconies, we study a real-world case of changes in political norms: the normalization of Spanish nationalism after the referendum on Catalan independence.

journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10.10…

🚨Job🚨

I am looking for a postdoc for my DFG public | @[email protected] project “Powerful Polls” (@unipotsdam).

Start date: October 1 (latest)

Please share widely and apply!

Do not hesitate to get in touch in case of questions.

Full job add: uni-potsdam.de/fileadmin/proj…

Now avaible as a copy-edited article: 'Comparative Vote Switching' w/ Werner Krause and Tarik Abou-Chadi in Journal of Politics @[email protected]: journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/72…

Up to 50 ungated copies are available here: journals.uchicago.edu/eprint/MXXBMQY…

For a summary of the paper, see my thread below ⬇️

In einem Beitrag für den DVPW 🦣 @[email protected]-Blog zeigen Julius Kölzer, Christian Stecker und ich, welche Faktoren die Zugewinne der AfD bei den Landtagswahlen in Hessen und Bayern vom Oktober 2023 erklären: dvpw.de/blog/rekorde-i… Ein🧵1/6

A study underscores that the most robust immigrant removal programs have fallen short of their promises to reduce crime and are unlikely to achieve this goal in the future.

In The Associated Press: ow.ly/Ttpk50QV8f3

In PNAS: ow.ly/C7p050QV8f4