Justin Grimmer
@justingrimmer
Morris M Doyle Centennial Professor of Public Policy, Department of Political Science. Senior Fellow, Hoover Institution. Stanford University
ID: 1511927127989383168
http://www.justingrimmer.org 07-04-2022 04:42:11
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Justin Grimmer Nate Silver My go-to example: coin is tossed one time, and while in the air, one modeler says the probability of heads is 0.99. The other says it is 0.95. It comes down heads. What information do you have to make the decision as to who is better at modeling?
In POLITICO, Hoover Institution senior fellow Justin Grimmer challenges the reliability of current #election forecasting models and highlights potential negative impacts they may cause in #voter behavior. politico.com/news/magazine/…