ivan arreguín-toft (@imarreguintoft) 's Twitter Profile
ivan arreguín-toft

@imarreguintoft

also on bluesky-editor, russia matters project, the belfer center for science & international affairs, harvard kennedy school

ID: 18578756

linkhttps://www.belfercenter.org/person/ivan-arreguin-toft calendar_today03-01-2009 13:07:50

1,1K Tweet

471 Followers

122 Following

ivan arreguín-toft (@imarreguintoft) 's Twitter Profile Photo

i read a lot about #putin & #russia & i’m angered by the feeling that we, are becoming them. rule of oligarchs? check; capture of the judiciary? check; persecution of #journalists, women’s rights, #LGBTQ+, #immigrants? check. dictatorship? that’s all this election is about.

ivan arreguín-toft (@imarreguintoft) 's Twitter Profile Photo

if #trump followers believe trump to be ‘sent by #god’ & infallible (as trump genuinely does), then ANY report of his misconduct, however vile, however well-documented, MUST BE fake & purely politically motivated. so that’s where we are now…

ivan arreguín-toft (@imarreguintoft) 's Twitter Profile Photo

seems very much like poor timing if nothing else: the threat landscape is expanding quickly, & the #UK has now baked in gaps in its suite of force projection & #resilience capabilities. plus, interestingly, in so many contingencies the legacy tech IS the resilience tech.

ivan arreguín-toft (@imarreguintoft) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Mr. Trump also suggested that future security of Ukraine would not be an American problem. “This War is far more important to Europe than it is to us,” he wrote. “We have a big, beautiful Ocean as separation.” now switch "Ukraine" for "Europe" and imagine it's 1939...

ivan arreguín-toft (@imarreguintoft) 's Twitter Profile Photo

every time i think the #trump admin. can't get any stupider, greedier, more bigoted and lawless, they turn out to be much MUCH worse. then again, the only thing worse than the trump admin. are the bootlickers in #SCOTUS and #congress who facilitate their destruction of the u.s.

ivan arreguín-toft (@imarreguintoft) 's Twitter Profile Photo

here's isaac #chotimer in yesterday's new yorker: "the administration’s defiance of congress and the judiciary has both flouted and made use of the country’s legal system." & here's journalist heinz höhne (1966) on the history of #hitler's #SS.

here's isaac #chotimer in yesterday's new yorker: "the administration’s defiance of congress and the judiciary has both flouted and made use of the country’s legal system." & here's journalist heinz höhne (1966) on the history of #hitler's #SS.
ivan arreguín-toft (@imarreguintoft) 's Twitter Profile Photo

amateur hour in the #trump administration again (as if we #americans don't ALREADY have enough to be embarrassed about)! recalling that #hitler & most of his cronies were all failures at every other thing they'd tried before becoming #nazis. nytimes.com/live/2025/03/2…

ivan arreguín-toft (@imarreguintoft) 's Twitter Profile Photo

saying violent, hateful things about LGBTQ+ or women is “protected” speech, but criticizing #israeli #policy is not? #trumpist reasoning: (1) anti-israeli speech = anti-semitic speech; (2) pro-palestinian arab or anti-semitic speech count as hate speech, therefore not protected.

ivan arreguín-toft (@imarreguintoft) 's Twitter Profile Photo

we should be able to distinguish between (1) criticism of #likud’s policies (criticism good) & anti-semitism (bad); and (2) between support for a #palestinian #arab homeland (2-state solution, good) & support for #hamas (bad): these are not the same things!

ivan arreguín-toft (@imarreguintoft) 's Twitter Profile Photo

the standard playbook 4 autocrats: since by definition they imagine themselves both infallible & critical 2 the nation's security & prosperity, when they f- up, it's never their mistake or stupidity; always a despised minority, foreign plot, or journalist. bit.ly/3XzKOgP

ivan arreguín-toft (@imarreguintoft) 's Twitter Profile Photo

is there any way to stop escalation once it’s begun? It's a terrific question & one i'd love to see answered w respect to political polarization as well theworld.org/segments/2025/…

ivan arreguín-toft (@imarreguintoft) 's Twitter Profile Photo

make no mistake. #trump's new 'immigrant detention centers' will soon warehouse his political opponents. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

ivan arreguín-toft (@imarreguintoft) 's Twitter Profile Photo

#trump's frustration with #bondi (bit.ly/3LFtX9s) has precedent. #Nazi leadership expressed identical frustration with its legal team: the great leader wants his way instantly, & the law takes time.

#trump's frustration with #bondi (bit.ly/3LFtX9s) has precedent. #Nazi leadership expressed identical frustration with its legal team: the great leader wants his way instantly, & the law takes time.
ivan arreguín-toft (@imarreguintoft) 's Twitter Profile Photo

why not just ask #denmark for what we need in #greenland rather than counterproductively bully a friend and ally? is there no end to the childish, petulant #dumbassery this administration is going to pursue in the name of #nationalsecurity?

ivan arreguín-toft (@imarreguintoft) 's Twitter Profile Photo

#trump's #tariff policies highlight a critical weakness with his administration: binary, linear, hierarchical thinking. it's a trademark of #evangelical reasoning, but it's a total mis-match with the #nonlinear realities of #markets, #nationalism, #identity, #war, & #trade.

ivan arreguín-toft (@imarreguintoft) 's Twitter Profile Photo

we seem to be at an inflection point in which #barbarism—the deliberate & systematic injury of #noncombatants as strategy—has returned, but under the pre-#grotian notion that 'if the prince's cause be just, no limits on the use of violence need be observed.'

ivan arreguín-toft (@imarreguintoft) 's Twitter Profile Photo

but #barbarism, when it works, only works short-term. like #war itself, long-term it always costs its perpetrators and proponents more than it gains. #gazaGenocide, #russiaukrainewar, #moralinjury

ivan arreguín-toft (@imarreguintoft) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Kath the real trouble with your claim is it seems likely the #trump team remains catastrophically out of its depth. Both trump & #Putin may actually believe #Russia's victory is inevitable, so bullying #Ukraine into a profitable—for trump—peace makes sense to them.

ivan arreguín-toft (@imarreguintoft) 's Twitter Profile Photo

state of the union? here's #Trump: "The first duty of the American government is to protect American citizens, not illegal aliens.” Yes, but your #Sturmabteilung (also known as ICE) shot & killed at least 2 #American citizens who were peacefully protesting. how's that square?

ivan arreguín-toft (@imarreguintoft) 's Twitter Profile Photo

the #trump administration's claim that political opposition constitutes a threat to U.S. #nationalsecurity would only be true if you assume, as the admin does, that U.S. national security interests are determined solely at the whim of an infallible #DJT. nytimes.com/2026/03/19/us/…