So many weird contradictions in the pitches of AI companies right now: "Corporations use our AI summarize conference calls leading to 6% savings. Also, within two years we think AI will replace all organizations" "Here is a tool to accelerate science. It also talks like Santa"

Based on this as well as what is *possible* in every state, I would say it is of paramount importance to bring a citizen initiative for nonpartisan redistricting in Florida. This mechanism would address gerrymandering without involving the state Supreme Court.

o1 & o3 bring to an end the period when everyone - from Musk to me - could access the same quality of ai model From now on, richer companies & individuals will be able to pay more in inference compute to get better results Further concentration of wealth & power coming

Glad to see OpenAI sharing their latest thinking re: corporate structure, and a lot of the explanation makes sense. However, there are some red flags here that need to be urgently addressed + better explained publicly before the transition goes through.🧵

Stargate + related efforts could help the US stay ahead of China, but China will still have their own superintelligence(s) no more than a year later than the US, absent e.g. a war. So unless you want (literal) war, you need to have a vision for navigating multipolar AI outcomes.

It must be comforting, on some level, to believe that AI progress is hitting a wall. But the reality is that the industry is scrambling to design new tests hard enough to stump AI models, because most of the existing tests are getting beaten. Full column (free link):

the evacuation of all USAID employees from overseas is incompatible with the waivers to keep lifesaving programs going, if anyone was wondering. cbsnews.com/news/usaid-mis…

Nice piece from Caleb Watney in the NYT today. There are lessons here that go beyond science policy.

Strongly endorse everything Tyler said about Matt & Carl!

How to improve your writing in two easy steps: Step 1: Move a lot of the detail into an appendix Step 2: Delete the appendix

Gary Marcus Every decision or speech act bakes in a billion complex, subtle values, about efficiency, honesty, empathy, respect, social norms, empiricism, aesthetics, deference, humility, and on and on. How would you write a set of goals that leads to good norms across a trillion actions?

3.7 sonnet: *hands behind back* yes the tests do pass. why do you ask. what did you hear 4o: yes you are Jesus Christ's brother. now go. Nanjing awaits o3: Listen, sorry, I owe you a straight explanation. This was once revealed to me in a dream

Wegmans has to post this sign because New York City passed a law requiring notification in 2021. They are collecting facial recognition, eye scans and voiceprints. Most places have no such laws, if you are shopping in a major city you should assume your essence is being captured.

Prof. Steve Vladeck's newsletter this morning incidentally reminds me that the TikTok ban is now almost a year old-- and has not taken effect, despite being upheld by SCOTUS and enacted by Congress.

NEW Cook Political Report House rating changes: 18 races move in Dems' direction, including four key races from Lean R to Toss Up. Full analysis by Erin Covey: cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…

Over 5 years I've advised dozens of philanthropists on AI. I compiled the answers to all of the questions I've been asked in one report. 2024 Nobel Prize Geoffrey Hinton calls it “an extremely useful resource for philanthropists interested in funding AI safety and preparedness."