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As of 7 Oct, 17 clubs have already secured European participation in 2025/26: 🇪🇪 FCI Levadia 🇫🇴 Vikingur 🇫🇴 KI Klaksvik 🇫🇴 HB Torshavn 🇫🇮 KuPS 🇫🇮 Ilves 🇫🇮 HJK Helsinki 🇮🇸 KA Akureyri 🇮🇸 Breidablik 🇮🇸 Vikingur 🇰🇿 Aktobe 🇱🇻 RFS 🇱🇻 Riga 🇱🇻 Valmiera 🇱🇹 Žalgiris 🇱🇹 Hegelmann 🇱🇹

New international window is upon us! Here are the projected pots for WC 2026 qualifiers (as of 7 Oct): Pot 1: 🇫🇷🇪🇸🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿🇧🇪🇳🇱🇵🇹🇮🇹🇩🇪🇭🇷🇨🇭🇩🇰🇦🇹 Pot 2: 🇺🇦🇹🇷🇵🇱🇸🇪🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿🇭🇺🇷🇸🇸🇰🇷🇴🇳🇴🇬🇷🇨🇿 Pot 3: 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇸🇮🇮🇪🇫🇮🇦🇱🇬🇪🇮🇸🇲🇰🇲🇪NIR🇧🇦🇮🇱 Pot 4: 🇧🇬🇱🇺🇦🇲🇧🇾🇽🇰🇰🇿🇦🇿🇪🇪🇨🇾🇱🇹🇱🇻🇫🇴 Pot 5: 🇲🇩🇦🇩🇲🇹🇬🇮🇱🇮🇸🇲

To be in Pot 1 in WC qualifiers (as of 7 Oct): 100% 🇫🇷 FRA 100% 🇪🇸 ESP 100% 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG 100% 🇧🇪 BEL 100% 🇳🇱 NED 100% 🇮🇹 ITA 100% 🇵🇹 POR 99.9% 🇩🇪 GER 99.7% 🇭🇷 CRO 93% 🇩🇰 DEN 93% 🇨🇭 SUI 46% 🇦🇹 AUT -- 30% 🇵🇱 POL 14% 🇭🇺 HUN 14% 🇷🇸 SRB 7% 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 SCO 2% 🇧🇦 BIH 1% 🇺🇦 UKR 1% 🇮🇱 ISR 0.2% 🇹🇷

8 UNL quarterfinalists and 4 best FIFA ranked remaining teams will comprise Pot 1 in the WC 2026 qualifiers. All remaining Pots (2, 3, 4, 5) will be determined by FIFA ranking. ENG 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿, BEL 🇧🇪, SUI 🇨🇭, AUT 🇦🇹 are currently projected to join 8 UNL quarterfinalists in Pot 1.

Master table with each team's probability to finish in each Pot for WC 2026 qualifiers (as of 7 Oct). Battles for Pot 1 and Pot 2 will be very interesting. For Pot 3 it's basically ISR 🇮🇱 v BUL 🇧🇬.

First 5 of the highest ranked clubs in the potential UCL champions path in 2025 are currently NOT leading their domestic leagues. If all leagues ended today, Crvena zvezda 🇷🇸 would be first in line for direct entry into the Champions League.

📊📈📉 UNL League A probabilities (as of 8 Oct). 1⃣st = quarterfinals (seeded), Pot 1 in WC qualifiers 2⃣nd = quarterfinals (unseeded), Pot 1 in WC qualifiers 3⃣rd = relegation play-off 4⃣th = relegation to League B

📊📈📉 UNL League B probabilities (as of 8 Oct). 1⃣st = promotion to League A 2⃣nd = promotion play-off 3⃣rd = relegation play-off 4⃣th = relegation to League C

📊📈📉 UNL League C probabilities (as of 8 Oct). 1⃣st = promotion to League B 2⃣nd = promotion play-off 3⃣rd = / 4⃣th = relegation to League D or relegation play-off

📊📈📉 UNL League D probabilities (as of 8 Oct). 1⃣st = promotion to League C 2⃣nd = promotion play-off 3⃣rd = /

To play in UNL quarterfinals (8 Oct): 96% 🇩🇪 Germany 96% 🇪🇸 Spain 92% 🇵🇹 Portugal 87% 🇳🇱 Netherlands 85% 🇮🇹 Italy 78% 🇩🇰 Denmark 72% 🇫🇷 France 70% 🇭🇷 Croatia -- 43% 🇧🇪 Belgium 31% 🇵🇱 Poland 15% 🇭🇺 Hungary 13% 🇷🇸 Serbia 12% 🇨🇭 Switzerland 7% 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scotland 2% 🇧🇦 BiH 0.4% 🇮🇱 Israel

There are 7 teams that can still theoretically catch Austria 🇦🇹 on 12th place. This is how much they need to overperform AUT 🇦🇹 by in the remaining 4 UNL matches: UKR 🇺🇦 2 wins POL 🇵🇱 2 wins, 1 draw TUR 🇹🇷 2 wins, 1 draw WAL 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 3 wins, 1 draw SWE 🇸🇪 3 wins, 1 draw HUN 🇭🇺 3 wins,

The battle for 36th place that leads to Pot 3 in WC qualifiers will likely come done to the wire between Israel 🇮🇱 and Bulgaria 🇧🇬. BUL 🇧🇬 needs to match whatever points ISR 🇮🇱 collects in the remaining 4 UNL matches and then add 2 more wins to that to overtake them.

What do Scotland 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 need to climb back to Top 24 and reach Pot 2 in WC qualifiers? They face tougher opposition than all other teams on the list so every loss will cost them less pts, and every win will gain them more pts than other teams. Thus, SCO 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 can overtake CZE 🇨🇿, NOR

Projected to be promoted to a higher UNL league (as of 8 Oct) 👇 From League B to A: 🇬🇪🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿🇸🇮🇹🇷 From League C to B: 🇸🇪🇷🇴🇧🇬🇲🇰 From League D to C: 🇬🇮🇲🇩

After an abysmal start to the new domestic season (bottom of the league after 9 rounds), Young Boys 🇨🇭 sacked coach Patrick Rahmen. The only bright spot was eliminating Galatasaray 🇹🇷 in CL playoff round with 2 wins(!).

Projected to relegate to a lower UNL league (as of 8 Oct) 👇 From League A to B: 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇮🇱🇧🇦🇷🇸 From League B to C: 🇺🇦🇮🇪🇰🇿🇲🇪 From League C to D: 🇪🇪🇱🇹

Projected promotion/relegation playoffs (as of 8 Oct) 👇 A vs B: 🇵🇱🇧🇪🇭🇺🇨🇭 vs 🇨🇿🇬🇷🇦🇹🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 B vs C: 🇦🇱🇫🇮🇳🇴🇮🇸 vs 🇸🇰🇽🇰NIR🇦🇲 C vs D: 🇱🇺🇫🇴 vs 🇱🇮🇲🇹