How would across-the-board tariffs affect the U.S. economy? On 10/17, hear from Wendy Edelberg, Peterson Institute’s Maurice Obstfeld, Jason Furman, and Ana Swanson about the effect of tariffs on inflation, supply chains, interest rates, and more. hamiltonproject.org/event/across-t…

Former President Donald Trump has proposed double-digit, across-the-board tariffs on all U.S. imports. On 10/17, @HamiltonProj and Peterson Institute are hosting a virtual event to explore what this plan would mean for the U.S. economy. hamiltonproject.org/event/across-t…

We’re hiring! The Hamilton Project is hiring a fellow and RA. Learn more: hamiltonproject.org/about/careers/

Tariffs have become a major topic in the 2024 presidential election. Wendy Edelberg, Peterson Institute’s Maurice Obstfeld, Jason Furman, and Ana Swanson will discuss their economic consequences at a Brookings event on 10/17. Register -> hamiltonproject.org/event/across-t…

Trump’s insistence that his proposed tariffs wouldn’t make American consumers and businesses pay higher prices betrays a basic misunderstanding of how tariffs work. In practice, tariffs lead to: - Higher prices for customers - Chaos in global supply chains - Trade uncertainty

The presidential candidates’ differing approaches to immigration policy could show up in GDP growth—by as much as a half a percentage point (or $130 billion) in 2025, according to a new analysis from me, Cecilia Esterline, Stan Veuger, and Tara E W. brookings.edu/articles/immig…

ICYMI: We hosted a webinar this morning on the economic implications of tariffs. Watch the full recording: hamiltonproject.org/event/across-t… For a preview, here’s Jason Furman on the difference between the Trump and Biden administrations' tariffs on China vs. across-the-board tariffs:

The Fair Labor Standards Act (FLSA) went into effect on this day in 1938. A lot has changed over the past 86 years. What could a federal labor standard for the 21st century look like? Betsey Stevenson makes the case for earned time off: hamiltonproject.org/publication/po…

In a new proposal, Betsey Stevenson outlines the benefits of a federal guarantee for earned paid time off, including: ➡️ Increased productivity, health, and well-being ➡️ Reduced income volatility ➡️ Improved norms around taking time off hamiltonproject.org/publication/po…

Should the U.S. replace income taxes with tariffs? At our event earlier this month, Peterson Institute’s Maurice Obstfeld argued that tariffs are an inefficient and outdated way to raise revenue. hamiltonproject.org/event/across-t…

The cost of housing has climbed steeply over the last four years. In a new video, Wendy Edelberg explains what's behind that increase, why the US faces a housing shortage, and what Washington can do to address the problem. brookings.edu/articles/what-…

The United States is the only high-income country that does not guarantee workers paid time off as part of national workplace standards. In her proposal, Betsey Stevenson makes the case for a federal guarantee for earned paid time off. hamiltonproject.org/publication/po…

"For low-income renting households, about a third of their expenditures go toward rent. For those reasons, many are describing the current situation as a 'housing crisis.'" Wendy Edelberg explains the US housing shortage and possible fixes in a new video. brookings.edu/articles/what-…

“The economic effects may not be earth-shattering with respect to the aggregate economy, but earth-shattering with respect to individuals who are going to bear the brunt of this.” Wendy Edelberg spoke to CNN about Trump’s federal funding freeze: cnn.com/2025/01/29/bus…

A striking admission in Trump officials’ work requirements NYT op-ed: many working ppl who “work inconsistently throughout the year” will lose Medicaid & SNAP New The Hamilton Project brief by @LizAnanat, Anna Gassman-Pines, Olivia Howard shows this is true - and why hamiltonproject.org/publication/po… 1/

Key finding: among low-income service workers in 2022, 64% would have failed an 80-hour/month work requirement in at least 1 month, including > 1/3 of those who worked >= 80 hours/month ON AVERAGE over the course of the year 2/

Why? B/c service sector jobs are volatile. Ppl working in retail or restaurants or home care end up w/spells of unemployment & low hours. And these are #s from a good labor market; in a recession, even more pple w/strong labor force attachment would be unemployed 3/

Center on Budget Trump Adm officials' op-ed argues ppl who work “inconsistently” aren’t “truly needy,” presumably on the theory they could work more hours But on top of health, caregiving, & other barriers, new analysis finds most low-income service workers want more hours than they get 5/

Center on Budget In another NYT op-ed & elsewhere, Josh Hawley drew a line against "cutting health care for the working poor" x.com/HawleyMO/statu… Work requirements unequivocally fail that test, threatening health care for many workers b/c of the instability of real-world low-wage jobs 6/6

Indeed The Hamilton Project has been tracking this data and it continues to show no real savings.